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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks34%9178
16Bulls66%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
38.1
35.8
12
33%
7
4
0
1
6
1
1
6
7-10
70%
1-11
6-13
9%
45%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.4
34.0
41.2
21
51%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
33.9
29.0
8
54%
14
0
1
1
1
1
4
10
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.4
25.1
30.8
7
46%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
1-5
5-10
20%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.2
21.7
24.3
7
72%
3
1
3
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.4
39.3
31.1
9
60%
5
2
2
1
1
4
4
1
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
15.8
17.1
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
10.3
7.9
10
73%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
8.3
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
5.7
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
4.2
3.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
3.6
1.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
41.5
37.2
21
56%
6
3
1
1
0
5
1
5
2-2
100%
5-10
5-12
50%
46%
3-8
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
36.7
34.7
6
34%
12
2
1
1
1
0
4
8
0-2
0%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
31.1
33.9
22
52%
9
2
1
1
0
2
6
3
2-3
67%
10-19
7-13
53%
51%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
20.1
16.1
8
35%
12
2
1
1
0
0
4
8
2-3
67%
3-10
2-5
30%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
16.8
36.9
4
29%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-10
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
26.3
15.3
11
63%
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
20.8
32.6
11
80%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
17.5
5.8
5
32%
7
2
2
0
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
1-6
1-1
17%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
15.0
16.3
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
10.8
13.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
3.6
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.