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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies24%9891
14Raptors76%107103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
37.1
31.5
15
54%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
3-10
30%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
32.1
31.5
8
34%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
4-6
67%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
25.4
35.1
13
44%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
5-6
83%
4-12
6-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
24.2
38.2
4
30%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
19.2
21.1
8
67%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
30.7
25.0
12
45%
4
3
4
1
0
0
0
4
6-10
60%
3-9
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
26.6
12.6
3
38%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
13.7
16.5
12
86%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
12.4
4.6
11
62%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
9.0
16.5
3
39%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
5.8
3.2
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
3.7
2.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
36.7
28.9
19
68%
8
6
0
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
3-5
60%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.5
35.6
32.4
6
33%
8
2
1
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
33.7
35.0
13
50%
5
10
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
54%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
18.9
16.6
10
56%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
11.5
39.3
10
83%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
8-16
83%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
31.0
21.5
14
58%
4
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
2-5
40%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
23.2
23.8
14
88%
7
0
0
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
20.9
28.2
11
67%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
4-5
80%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.7
14.3
3.9
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
7.2
8.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
6.9
5.7
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.1
6.7
0
1-2
47%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.