Final Win Prob. pScore
1133%94
74
867%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
88.18489.8
DET logo Pistons
129.88478.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET74
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMurray STEAL (2 STL)74
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETJohnson Dunk (7 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)74
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEHayes STEAL (2 STL)74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Brown Layup74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:03DETMurray 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:06DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:07CLEMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot74
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:29DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:29DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:29CLEBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)74
103
Q4 - 1:29CLEMurray STEAL (1 STL)74
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:45DETAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CLEMISS Snow 15' Jump Shot74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DETPISTONS Rebound74
100
Q4 - 2:09DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09CLECavaliers Foul74
99
Q4 - 2:09CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 1)74
99
Q4 - 2:09CLEJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)74
99
Q4 - 2:36CLEBrown Driving Layup (4 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59CLEJones Tip Shot (4 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02CLEMISS Nichols 20' Jump Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17CLESnow S.FOUL (P2.T4)70
98
Q4 - 3:17DETJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)70
98
Q4 - 3:30DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31CLEMISS Nichols 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45DETHayes 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CLENichols 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DETMohammed Layup (6 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27CLEBrown P.FOUL (P1.T3)68
92
Q4 - 4:41DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42CLEMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56DETJohnson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14CLECavaliers Rebound68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15CLEHayes BLOCK (2 BLK)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16CLECavaliers Rebound68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17CLEJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24CLECavaliers Rebound68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25CLEJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETPISTONS Rebound68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40DETMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
90
Q4 - 5:54CLESnow P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
90
Q4 - 6:04CLEBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19DETMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24CLEMISS Nichols 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39DETMohammed 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57CLEMISS Newble 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13DETMurray 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:22CLENewble P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
86
Q4 - 7:38CLENewble 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)68
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:01CLESUB: Snow FOR Gibson65
86
Q4 - 8:01DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Hunter65
86
Q4 - 8:01CLECavaliers Rebound65
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02DETMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot65
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:18CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)65
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:34CLESUB: Nichols FOR Jones62
86
Q4 - 8:3462
86
Q4 - 8:34DETHunter P.FOUL (P1.T1)62
86
Q4 - 8:48DETHayes 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:10CLEJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)62
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 9:15CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Johnson 8' Hook Shot59
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 9:35DETSUB: Johnson FOR Maxiell59
83
Q4 - 9:35DETSUB: Murray FOR Hamilton59
83
Q4 - 9:35DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups59
83
Q4 - 9:35CLENewble Palming Turnover (P1.T11)59
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 9:57DETMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)59
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 10:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 10:35CLEMISS Brown 11' Running Jump Shot59
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 11:03DETHayes 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 11:20DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 11:23CLEHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 11:42DETHayes 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)59
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 12:0059
77
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE59
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 259
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0CLEJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
76
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot59
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0CLEBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0CLEBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P1.T3)57
76
Q3 - 0:39.0DETSUB: Mohammed FOR Wallace57
76
Q3 - 0:39.0CLESUB: Brown FOR Pavlovic57
76
Q3 - 0:39.0CLESUB: Newble FOR Gooden57
76
Q3 - 0:39.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)57
76
Q3 - 0:39.0DETHamilton Dunk (18 PTS)57
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0CLEHayes STEAL (1 STL)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 1:00DETMaxiell 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)57
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 1:13CLEMISS Pavlovic 18' Jump Shot57
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 1:26CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 1:29DETMISS Maxiell Tip Shot57
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 1:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot57
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 1:38DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 1:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 1:49CLEMISS Gooden 17' Turnaround Jump Shot57
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:10DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 2:15CLEHamilton STEAL (2 STL)57
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:35DETSUB: Maxiell FOR McDyess57
69
Q3 - 2:35DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince57
69
Q3 - 2:35DETMcDyess Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)57
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q3 - 2:51CLEJones Putback Layup (2 PTS)57
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:52CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 2:53CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot55
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 3:10CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 3:11DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot55
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 3:30CLEGooden 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 3:49CLESUB: Jones FOR Brown53
69
Q3 - 3:49CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)53
69
Q3 - 3:51DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)53
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 3:55CLEHamilton STEAL (1 STL)53
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 4:10DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)53
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 4:21CLEWallace STEAL (2 STL)53
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 4:34DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 4:34CLESUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas53
64
Q3 - 4:34DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 4:34CLEIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)53
63
Q3 - 4:34DETPISTONS Rebound53
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 4:35CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Hook Shot53
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 4:54DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 5:05CLEBrown P.FOUL (P1.T4)53
63
Q3 - 5:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 5:19CLEWallace STEAL (1 STL)53
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 5:41DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 5:41CLESUB: Snow FOR Gibson53
62
Q3 - 5:41DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
10.7%
62
89.3%
Q3 - 5:41CLEGibson S.FOUL (P4.T3)53
61
Q3 - 6:03CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)53
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 6:24DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 6:41CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 6:41CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 6:41DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
61
Q3 - 7:02DETPrince Layup (14 PTS)49
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 7:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 7:12CLEMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)49
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 7:32DETHamilton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)49
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 7:48CLEPavlovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)49
12.7%
57
87.3%
Q3 - 8:11DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 8:11CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)47
56
Q3 - 8:11CLEGooden S.FOUL (P2.T2)47
56
Q3 - 8:11DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)47
56
Q3 - 8:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 8:21CLEMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot47
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q3 - 8:41DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)47
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 8:55CLEMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot47
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 9:16CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 9:18DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot47
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q3 - 9:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q3 - 9:31CLEMISS Pavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 9:49DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)47
21.6%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 9:58DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q3 - 10:08CLEGibson P.FOUL (P3.T1)47
50
Q3 - 10:25CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q3 - 10:25CLEPavlovic OFF.Foul (P1)47
50
Q3 - 10:29DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
50
Q3 - 10:35DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)47
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q3 - 11:00CLEGooden 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)47
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q3 - 11:16DETPrince 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q3 - 11:44CLEPavlovic Driving Dunk (11 PTS)45
24.1%
48
75.9%
Q3 - 12:0043
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Murray 74' 3PT Jump Shot43
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLESUB: Brown FOR James42
48
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETBillups S.FOUL (P1.T4)41
48
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETMcDyess Dunk (10 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)41
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0CLEPavlovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)38
46
Q2 - 1:02CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 1:04DETMISS Hamilton Layup38
15.4%
46
84.6%
Q2 - 1:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 1:10CLEWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)38
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 1:14DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 1:29CLEPavlovic 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 1:51CLESUB: Jones FOR Gibson36
46
Q2 - 1:51DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 1:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 1:56CLEMISS James 17' Jump Bank Shot36
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 2:14DETMcDyess Dunk (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)36
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 2:30CLEGibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 2:44DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Prince36
44
Q2 - 2:44DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 2:44DETPISTONS Rebound36
43
Q2 - 2:44DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 236
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 2:44CLESUB: Gooden FOR Jones36
43
Q2 - 2:44DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
43
Q2 - 2:44CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
43
Q2 - 3:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 3:03CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 236
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 3:03DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell36
43
Q2 - 3:03CLECavaliers Rebound36
43
Q2 - 3:03CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 236
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 3:03DETSUB: Wallace FOR Mohammed36
43
Q2 - 3:03DETPrince S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
43
Q2 - 3:09DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)36
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 3:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 3:10CLEMISS Pavlovic Layup36
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 3:18CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 3:21DETMISS Mohammed Layup36
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 3:22DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 3:28DETMISS Prince 11' Running Jump Shot36
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 3:52CLEJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 4:19DETMaxiell Dunk (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)33
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 4:27DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 4:28DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot33
15.9%
41
84.1%
Q2 - 4:41CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)33
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 4:41CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)32
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 4:41DETMohammed S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
41
Q2 - 4:50CLESUB: Jones FOR Gooden31
41
Q2 - 4:50CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Snow31
41
Q2 - 4:50CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Jones31
41
Q2 - 4:5031
41
Q2 - 4:50CLECavaliers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)31
41
Q2 - 4:56DETMurray 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
13.3%
41
86.7%
Q2 - 5:21CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)31
15.1%
39
84.9%
Q2 - 5:40DETMurray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)29
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 5:50DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 5:51CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot29
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 6:12DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)29
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 6:24CLESUB: Gibson FOR Brown29
35
Q2 - 6:24DETPISTONS Rebound29
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 6:25CLEMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 6:44DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
35
Q2 - 6:45DETMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 6:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 7:00CLEMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot29
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 7:23DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 7:23DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 7:23CLEJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
33
Q2 - 7:31CLESUB: James FOR Jones29
33
Q2 - 7:31CLEJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
33
Q2 - 7:40DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 7:42CLEMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot29
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 7:52CLESUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas29
33
Q2 - 7:52DETSUB: Billups FOR Hunter29
33
Q2 - 7:52CLESUB: Snow FOR Pavlovic29
33
Q2 - 7:52CLECavaliers Rebound29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 7:53CLEMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot29
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 7:58CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 7:59DETMISS Hunter Layup29
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 8:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 8:06CLEMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot29
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 8:27CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
33
Q2 - 8:28DETPrince Dunk (6 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 8:43DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 8:45CLEPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)29
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 9:04DETMaxiell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)29
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q2 - 9:29CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)29
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q2 - 9:36DETSUB: Murray FOR Hamilton27
29
Q2 - 9:36DETSUB: Mohammed FOR McDyess27
29
Q2 - 9:36CLECavaliers Rebound27
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 9:37CLEMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)27
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 9:49DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 10:04DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 10:07DETMISS Maxiell 10' Turnaround Jump Shot27
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q2 - 10:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 10:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup27
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q2 - 10:41DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)27
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q2 - 10:56CLEBrown 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q2 - 11:18DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)24
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q2 - 11:34CLEBrown 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q2 - 11:52DETHunter Violation:Kicked Ball22
23
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound22
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hunter 40' 3PT Jump Shot22
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes22
23
Q1 - 0:03.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Newble21
23
Q1 - 0:03.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETHayes S.FOUL (P3.PN)20
23
Q1 - 0:10.0CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
26.2%
23
73.8%
Q1 - 0:12.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 120
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0DETHayes S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
23
Q1 - 0:12.0CLEJames Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Newble 1 AST)20
23
Q1 - 0:33.0DETHamilton Dunk (8 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)18
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0CLEHunter STEAL (1 STL)18
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)18
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 1:02CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 1:02CLECavaliers Rebound17
19
Q1 - 1:02CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 217
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 1:02DETHayes S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
19
Q1 - 1:17DETHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 1:21DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 1:22DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 217
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 1:22CLESUB: Jones FOR Gooden17
19
Q1 - 1:22DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace17
19
Q1 - 1:22DETPISTONS Rebound17
19
Q1 - 1:22DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 217
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 1:22DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups17
19
Q1 - 1:22CLENewble L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)17
19
Q1 - 1:22DETPISTONS Rebound17
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 1:23DETMISS Hayes 12' Jump Shot17
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 1:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 1:32CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot17
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 1:52CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)17
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 217
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 1:53DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 1:53CLESUB: Jones FOR Pavlovic17
18
Q1 - 1:53CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
18
Q1 - 1:53CLENewble S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
18
Q1 - 2:15CLEPavlovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 2:27CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 2:30DETMISS McDyess 11' Jump Bank Shot15
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 2:49CLEJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 2:56CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 2:57DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot13
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 3:21CLEJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 3:34DETMcDyess 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)11
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 3:53DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince11
16
Q1 - 3:53DETPISTONS Rebound11
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 3:54CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot11
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:13DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:32CLEGooden 8' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)11
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 4:54DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:06CLESUB: Newble FOR Ilgauskas9
12
Q1 - 5:06CLESUB: Brown FOR Gibson9
12
Q1 - 5:06DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
12
Q1 - 5:06CLEGibson P.FOUL (P2.T2)9
12
Q1 - 5:25CLEGibson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 5:44DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)7
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 6:02CLEGooden Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)7
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:02CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 6:04CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot7
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 6:15DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 6:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 6:21DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot7
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 6:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Hamilton Layup7
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 6:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 6:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup7
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 6:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 6:40DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 7:03CLEGooden Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 7:03CLEGooden OFF.Foul (P1)7
10
Q1 - 7:18CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 7:19DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot7
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 7:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:30CLEWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)7
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 7:52DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 7:52DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:52CLEGibson S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
8
Q1 - 8:08CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 8:08CLECavaliers Rebound6
8
Q1 - 8:08CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 26
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:08DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 8:23DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 8:42CLEGooden 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 8:56CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:57DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 9:18CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)4
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 9:42DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 9:58DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 9:59CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup2
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 10:15DETWallace 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:30CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:35CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:36CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:54CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 10:55DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:13CLEJames 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:34DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 11:46DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to McDyess0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLEDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.3%
DET
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
8
18
44%
DET
14
20
70%
Midrange
CLE
14
37
38%
DET
29
46
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DET
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
CLE
12
17
71%
DET
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1550%7.5 / 15
S. Pavlovic1365%6.5 / 10
D. Gooden941%4.5 / 11
Z. Ilgauskas840%4.0 / 10
D. Jones660%3.0 / 5
D. Gibson583%2.5 / 3
D. Brown550%2.5 / 5
D. Jones4100%2.0 / 2
S. Brown429%2.0 / 7
I. Newble338%1.5 / 4
D. Nichols220%1.0 / 5
E. Snow0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1860%9.0 / 15
T. Prince1667%8.0 / 12
A. McDyess1464%7.0 / 11
R. Wallace950%4.5 / 9
J. Hayes975%4.5 / 6
J. Maxiell964%4.5 / 7
R. Murray857%4.0 / 7
C. Billups758%3.5 / 6
N. Mohammed770%3.5 / 5
A. Johnson770%3.5 / 5
A. Afflalo5125%2.5 / 2
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
69
+11
-15
80
DET
73
+17
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.3%
DET
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.3
CLE 88.1
DET 129.8 +41.7
Pace
90.0
88.2
CLE 89.8 +10.9
DET 78.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.9
CLE 16.0 −2.2
DET 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
49.5%
CLE 44.3%
DET 59.7% +15.4%
TO %
14.5%
12.6%
CLE 17.1%
DET 12.1% −5.0%
ORB %
30.5%
29.4%
CLE 16.7%
DET 43.3% +26.6%
FTrt
30.8
30.0
CLE 24.3
DET 29.9 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
61.1%
CLE 50.0%
DET 66.7% +16.7%
STL %
7.8%
8.1%
CLE 7.1%
DET 10.7% +3.6%
BLK %
8.5%
9.4%
CLE 0.0%
DET 16.4% +16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
52.4%
CLE 46.3%
DET 59.9% +13.6%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.1%
CLE 44.4%
DET 70.0% +25.6%
Mid FG%
36.9%
41.7%
CLE 37.8%
DET 63.0% +25.2%
3P %
35.8%
36.6%
CLE 40.0% +21.8%
DET 18.2%
FT %
71.7%
76.7%
CLE 70.6%
DET 73.9% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
27.8%
CLE 25.7%
DET 26.0% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
42.2%
51.9%
CLE 52.9% −6.9%
DET 59.7%
3P Att. %
23.1%
20.3%
CLE 21.4% +7.1%
DET 14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEDET
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points74109
Rebounds2343
Assists1430
Steals69
Blocks09
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals28-7045-77
At-the-Rim FG8-1814-20
Midrange FG14-3729-46
2-Point FG22-5543-66
3-Point FG6-152-11
Free Throws12-1717-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 250 · 26
31.9
9
41%
9
0
2
0
4
2
2
7
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 235 · 24
30.5
13
65%
2
2
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
C · 7'3" 260 · 32
23.3
8
40%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 22
21.8
5
83%
1
2
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
19.5
15
50%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-9
56%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24
21.0
4
100%
5
0
1
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
18.9
5
50%
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33
17.7
3
38%
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
17.6
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 205 · 35
16.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 22
12.7
4
29%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 216 · 23
8.6
2
20%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 245 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'9" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
46%
23
14
6
0
15
0
6
17
12-17
71%
22-55
40%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.