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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers
74
8Pistons
109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.2
32
36
9
9
0
2
1
0
4
2
7
1-2
50%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
30
33
13
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
43%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.5
23
35
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.7
22
34
5
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
20
40
15
1
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
5-9
56%
5-9
8-17
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.5
21
5
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
19
18
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
18
14
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
18
18
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
17
7
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.0
13
4
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.2
9
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.2
33
34
7
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.8
32
34
18
2
6
2
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
8-14
6-13
57%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.2
27
34
14
8
0
0
1
2
2
3
5
2-6
33%
6-8
5-10
75%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.7
27
35
16
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
8-12
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.2
25
26
9
8
3
2
1
2
1
2
6
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-4
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
19
18
7
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
19
17
8
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
18
16
9
2
1
2
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.8
15
31
9
10
1
0
1
0
0
3
7
3-4
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.6
10
6
7
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
8
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
7
2
0
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.8
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.1
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.