Final Win Prob. pScore
1819%95
94
281%106
109
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
108.08780.3
SAS logo Spurs
123.98896.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASWashington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0WASMISS Haywood 13' Jump Shot94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14WASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASSUB: Elson FOR Finley91
109
Q4 - 1:23SASSUB: Washington FOR Ginobili91
109
Q4 - 1:23WASSUB: Blatche FOR Butler91
109
Q4 - 1:23SASSUB: Bonner FOR Parker91
109
Q4 - 1:23SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Duncan91
109
Q4 - 1:23SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen91
109
Q4 - 1:23WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)91
109
Q4 - 1:29SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54WASHaywood 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16WASMISS Young 17' Jump Shot89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 189
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASSUB: Finley FOR Oberto89
104
Q4 - 2:55WASSUB: McGuire FOR Daniels89
104
Q4 - 2:55WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Jamison89
104
Q4 - 2:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)89
104
Q4 - 2:55SASOberto S.FOUL (P4.T3)89
104
Q4 - 2:55WASHaywood 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)89
104
Q4 - 3:03SASParker 3' Driving Layup (29 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24WASHaywood 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry84
100
Q4 - 3:44WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44SASOberto S.FOUL (P3.T2)83
100
Q4 - 3:44WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45WASMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09SASParker 2' Layup (25 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14WASDuncan STEAL (1 STL)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29WASYoung S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
96
Q4 - 4:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:47WASMISS Jamison 5' Jump Shot83
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:55WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Barry 18' Jump Shot83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:24WASYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)83
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 5:38SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38WASHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T4)80
95
Q4 - 5:38SASOberto 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)80
95
Q4 - 5:46WASHaywood P.FOUL (P2.T3)80
93
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 5:48WASMISS Haywood 7' Jump Shot80
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:02WASSUB: Haywood FOR Blatche80
93
Q4 - 6:02WASSUB: Young FOR Songaila80
93
Q4 - 6:02WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)80
93
Q4 - 6:02SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)80
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 6:11WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot80
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 6:30SASParker 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)80
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 6:37WASMISS Daniels 2' Layup80
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 6:43WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 6:44SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot80
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 7:04WASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)80
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 7:08WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 7:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 7:31WASMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot80
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 7:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 7:41SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Bank Shot80
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 8:03SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Blatche: Tip to Parker80
88
Q4 - 8:03SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili80
88
Q4 - 8:03SASSPURS Rebound80
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 8:03SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn80
88
Q4 - 8:03WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot80
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 8:18SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 8:18SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q4 - 8:1880
86
Q4 - 8:18WASBlatche S.FOUL (P2.T2)80
86
Q4 - 8:33WASBlatche 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST)80
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 8:38WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 8:42SASMISS Vaughn 2' Layup78
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 8:47SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 8:48WASMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot78
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 9:07WASSUB: Butler FOR Young78
86
Q4 - 9:07SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T7)78
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 9:07SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P1)78
86
Q4 - 9:16WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 9:16WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson76
86
Q4 - 9:16SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T1)76
86
Q4 - 9:21WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot76
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 9:34SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 9:35WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot76
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)76
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 10:20WASDaniels 4' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)76
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q4 - 10:43SASGinobili 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 10:59WASSongaila 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 11:10WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 11:11SASMISS Barry 19' Jump Shot72
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 11:19WASYoung P.FOUL (P2.T1)72
81
Q4 - 11:30WASSongaila 1' Layup (4 PTS)72
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 11:45SASElson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)70
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 12:0070
79
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS70
79
Q3 - 0:04.0WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen68
79
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)68
79
Q3 - 0:26.0SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)68
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot68
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 1:13WASBlatche Layup (4 PTS)68
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:17WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 1:18WASMISS Jamison 3' Running Jump Shot66
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 1:33SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 1:33WASSUB: Songaila FOR Butler66
76
Q3 - 1:33SASSPURS Rebound66
76
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 266
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:33WASStevenson S.FOUL (P3.T4)66
76
Q3 - 1:45WASYoung Foul Turnover (P1.T8)66
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:45WASYoung OFF.Foul (P1)66
76
Q3 - 1:56SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)66
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 2:11WASStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)66
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 2:42SASGinobili 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)63
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 2:46WASBowen STEAL (2 STL)63
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 2:49WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 2:51WASParker BLOCK (1 BLK)63
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 3:11SASElson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)63
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 3:16SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan63
74
Q3 - 3:16SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
74
Q3 - 3:16WASBlatche P.FOUL (P1.T3)63
74
Q3 - 3:27WASJamison Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)63
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 3:27WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 3:27WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:27SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.PN)60
74
Q3 - 3:37SASParker 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)60
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 3:50SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 3:52WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot60
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 3:59WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 4:20WASButler 9' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 4:36WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 158
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 4:37SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto58
72
Q3 - 4:37WASStevenson S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
72
Q3 - 4:37SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)58
72
Q3 - 4:47SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley58
70
Q3 - 4:47WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 4:47WASWizards Rebound57
70
Q3 - 4:47WASMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 257
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 4:47SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.T4)57
70
Q3 - 5:05SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 5:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 5:13WASMISS Young 1' Dunk57
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 5:30SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)57
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 5:42SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 5:44WASMISS Blatche 14' Turnaround Jump Shot57
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)57
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 6:10WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 6:10WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 6:10SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)55
63
Q3 - 6:21WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Layup55
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 6:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot55
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 6:55WASJamison 2' Layup (9 PTS)55
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 7:18SASParker 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)53
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 7:39WASJamison 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Young 1 AST)53
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 7:53WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood51
61
Q3 - 7:53WASSUB: Young FOR Daniels51
61
Q3 - 7:53WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)51
61
Q3 - 7:55SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)51
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 8:04SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 8:06WASMISS Haywood 8' Jump Hook Shot51
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q3 - 8:25WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot51
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 8:41WASHaywood Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)51
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 8:57SASDuncan 6' Running Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)51
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 9:09WASJamison P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
56
Q3 - 9:25WASButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)51
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 9:25WASButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)50
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 9:25WASButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)49
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 9:25SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T2)48
56
Q3 - 9:39SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)48
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q3 - 9:48SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 9:49WASMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot48
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q3 - 10:04SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
53
Q3 - 10:18SASParker Layup (11 PTS)48
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q3 - 10:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q3 - 10:25WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot48
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q3 - 10:45SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)48
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q3 - 10:52SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot48
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 11:07WASHaywood 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)48
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q3 - 11:20SASDuncan 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)46
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 11:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q3 - 11:36WASMISS Jamison 13' Turnaround Jump Shot46
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q3 - 12:0046
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS46
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS46
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.4%
49
83.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0WASHaywood 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)46
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
47
Q2 - 0:40.0WASJamison 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)44
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T3)42
47
Q2 - 1:02WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
47
Q2 - 1:04WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 1:06WASMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot42
12.5%
47
87.5%
Q2 - 1:32SASParker 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 1:58WASStevenson 1' Layup (7 PTS)42
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 2:21SASDuncan 1' Dunk (8 PTS)40
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 2:39WASSUB: Haywood FOR Blatche40
43
Q2 - 2:39WASSUB: Butler FOR Songaila40
43
Q2 - 2:39WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 2:39WASStevenson OFF.Foul (P1)40
43
Q2 - 2:50WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 2:54SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 2:56WASMISS Jamison 3' Layup40
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 3:00WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 3:02WASDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)40
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 3:19SASElson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)40
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 3:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 3:27WASMISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot40
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 3:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 3:43SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot40
19.4%
41
80.6%
Q2 - 3:45SASSPURS Rebound40
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 3:45SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot40
19.4%
41
80.6%
Q2 - 4:08SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry40
41
Q2 - 4:08WASSUB: Daniels FOR Mason Jr.40
41
Q2 - 4:08SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
41
Q2 - 4:09WASStevenson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)40
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 4:21WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Elson 1' Layup38
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 4:26SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup38
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 4:39WASMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot38
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 4:50WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 238
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q2 - 4:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 4:52WASJamison S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
40
Q2 - 4:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 4:58WASMISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot38
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 5:06WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Elson 1' Layup38
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 5:30WASMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)38
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 5:5336
40
Q2 - 5:53SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 6:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 6:01WASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:15SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili36
40
Q2 - 6:15SASGinobili Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)36
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 6:25SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 6:27WASMISS Blatche 2' Layup36
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 6:41WASSUB: Jamison FOR Butler36
39
Q2 - 6:41SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto36
39
Q2 - 6:41SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 6:41WASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1)36
38
Q2 - 6:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 6:51WASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot36
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 7:07WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 7:09SASMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot36
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 7:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 7:24WASMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot36
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 7:44SASElson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)36
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 8:02SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 8:03WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 136
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 8:03SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
36
Q2 - 8:03WASBlatche 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)36
36
Q2 - 8:06WASSUB: Blatche FOR Daniels34
36
Q2 - 8:06WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Haywood34
36
Q2 - 8:06SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn34
36
Q2 - 8:06WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
36
Q2 - 8:12SASElson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)34
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 8:24WASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)34
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 8:43SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q2 - 9:01WASSongaila 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)31
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 9:17SASElson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)29
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 9:39WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 9:39WASWizards Rebound28
29
Q2 - 9:39WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 228
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 9:39SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
29
Q2 - 9:58SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)28
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 10:19WASButler 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 10:56WASDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)26
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q2 - 11:18SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)23
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q2 - 11:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 11:34WASMISS Songaila Layup23
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q2 - 12:0023
24
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS23
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan23
23
Q1 - 0:03.0SASSPURS Rebound23
23
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 223
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Elson23
23
Q1 - 0:03.0WASDaniels S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
23
Q1 - 0:19.0WASGinobili STEAL (2 STL)23
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.6%
23
80.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot23
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0WASDaniels 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)23
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot21
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 1:23WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)21
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 1:44SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 1:56WASButler 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 2:11WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 2:12SASMISS Vaughn 14' Jump Shot16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 2:30SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 2:32WASMISS Haywood 15' Jump Shot16
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 2:57SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto16
21
Q1 - 2:57WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
21
Q1 - 2:58SASDuncan 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)16
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 3:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 3:09WASMISS Jamison 3' Layup16
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 3:10WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:11WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot16
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 3:19WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 3:40SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker16
19
Q1 - 3:40WASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:17WASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)16
17.6%
16
82.4%
Q1 - 4:24WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot13
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 4:47WASGinobili STEAL (1 STL)13
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:06SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)13
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 5:22WASDaniels 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 5:44WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 5:55SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley11
14
Q1 - 5:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
14
Q1 - 5:55WASDaniels 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:20SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)9
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 6:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 6:36WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 6:53WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15.8%
12
84.2%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Oberto 12' Jump Shot9
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 7:02SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
14.7%
12
85.3%
Q1 - 7:02WASWizards T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Butler )9
11
Q1 - 7:20WASHaywood 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)9
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 7:38SASOberto 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)7
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 8:06WASHaywood 2' Layup (4 PTS)7
15.8%
9
84.2%
Q1 - 8:21SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 8:45WASStevenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)5
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 9:06SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)2
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:20WASButler L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:20WASBowen STEAL (1 STL)2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:24SASBowen Violation:Kicked Ball2
4
Q1 - 9:31SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 9:47WASMISS Jamison 3' Running Jump Shot2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 10:22WASHaywood 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 10:42SASParker Layup (2 PTS)0
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 10:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 10:51WASMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 10:58WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Finley 5' Floating Jump Shot0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:17WASMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:35WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Haywood: Tip to Oberto0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.3%
SAS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
14
25
56%
SAS
21
31
68%
Midrange
WAS
13
35
37%
SAS
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
SAS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
WAS
16
20
80%
SAS
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Haywood1968%9.5 / 14
C. Butler1673%8.0 / 11
A. Jamison1238%6.0 / 16
A. Daniels1179%5.5 / 7
D. Stevenson1063%5.0 / 8
N. Young945%4.5 / 10
A. Blatche643%3.0 / 7
D. Songaila660%3.0 / 5
R. Mason Jr.550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2969%14.5 / 21
M. Ginobili1968%9.5 / 14
T. Duncan1662%8.0 / 13
B. Bowen1275%6.0 / 8
M. Finley1071%5.0 / 7
F. Elson1063%5.0 / 8
B. Barry660%3.0 / 5
F. Oberto583%2.5 / 3
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
77
+7
-10
84
SAS
81
+5
-7
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.3%
SAS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
106.5
WAS 108.0
SAS 123.9 +15.8
Pace
90.4
89.5
WAS 80.3
SAS 96.1 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
WAS 17.9
SAS 15.0 −3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
50.4%
WAS 52.0%
SAS 63.2% +11.2%
TO %
13.8%
13.4%
WAS 10.7%
SAS 8.7% −2.0%
ORB %
28.9%
23.4%
WAS 15.0% +3.2%
SAS 11.8%
FTrt
29.7
27.6
WAS 26.7 +4.3
SAS 22.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
58.5%
WAS 62.9%
SAS 69.8% +6.9%
STL %
8.4%
7.1%
WAS 1.1%
SAS 5.7% +4.6%
BLK %
8.2%
6.5%
WAS 12.7% +9.4%
SAS 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.8%
WAS 55.3%
SAS 63.4% +8.1%
Rim FG%
59.0%
60.6%
WAS 56.0%
SAS 67.7% +11.7%
Mid FG%
38.4%
40.4%
WAS 37.1%
SAS 50.0% +12.9%
3P %
35.6%
36.9%
WAS 53.3% +5.7%
SAS 47.6%
FT %
78.2%
76.1%
WAS 80.0% +3.5%
SAS 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.8%
WAS 33.3%
SAS 40.8% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
44.1%
WAS 46.7%
SAS 31.6% −15.1%
3P Att. %
24.1%
25.1%
WAS 20.0%
SAS 27.6% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASSAS
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points94109
Rebounds3638
Assists2230
Steals15
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals35-7543-76
At-the-Rim FG14-2521-31
Midrange FG13-3512-24
2-Point FG27-6033-55
3-Point FG8-1510-21
Free Throws16-2013-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
39.8
12
38%
13
2
0
0
0
2
2
11
3-3
100%
3-14
21%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 228 · 28
38.1
16
73%
4
5
0
1
3
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 205 · 33
33.2
11
79%
3
6
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 218 · 27
32.1
10
63%
3
2
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
C · 7'0" 263 · 28
28.7
19
68%
5
2
1
2
1
3
2
3
3-5
60%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21
20.7
6
43%
5
2
0
3
0
2
1
4
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 30
16.9
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22
16.8
9
45%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
6-6
100%
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
10.8
5
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
36
22
1
7
10
0
6
30
16-20
80%
27-60
45%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.