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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 29, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets49%10194
8Warriors51%102113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.5
34.0
36.1
11
37%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-12
8-17
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.2
28.0
37.3
10
39%
7
1
0
0
3
5
1
6
2-2
100%
4-12
9-17
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.2
23.3
32.7
5
39%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.3
18.1
31.9
8
45%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.5
9.7
22.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.8
28.6
17.9
8
56%
4
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-5
20%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
26.1
15.4
13
59%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-7
71%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.4
25.1
15.9
19
64%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
46%
1-4
25%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
19.5
4.1
7
56%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
3-5
60%
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.6
19.0
22.2
9
46%
9
1
2
1
1
1
4
5
1-4
25%
4-8
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
8.7
5.8
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
5.1
0
0-1
51%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.9
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.7
44.5
39.4
19
41%
6
7
2
1
0
4
1
5
7-9
78%
6-14
4-9
43%
45%
0-5
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
43.4
33.7
18
60%
10
1
0
1
1
4
3
7
2-2
100%
8-13
5-11
62%
48%
0-1
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.6
40.1
39.9
27
72%
5
8
5
2
0
3
0
5
8-11
73%
8-11
6-13
73%
46%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
30.2
22.6
18
90%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
4-5
80%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
22.5
26.9
9
52%
10
2
0
1
1
0
2
8
3-6
50%
3-6
4-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.7
21.1
29.2
6
51%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
19.3
24.0
9
48%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
9.7
23.6
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.9
4.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.7
2.6
4.9
5
133%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-1
100%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.6
2.4
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.