Final Win Prob. pScore
1542%95
82
1658%98
91
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
92.18991.2
TOR logo Raptors
103.48886.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLETOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR82
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLECalderon BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLESUB: Jones FOR Newble82
91
Q4 - 0:13.0TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Kapono82
91
Q4 - 0:13.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)82
91
Q4 - 0:13.0TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLESUB: Gooden FOR Brown82
89
Q4 - 0:13.0CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Jones82
89
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)82
89
Q4 - 0:14.0CLEGibson P.FOUL (P4.T2)82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0CLESUB: Brown FOR Gooden82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Nesterovic82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0CLESUB: Newble FOR Ilgauskas82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)82
89
Q4 - 0:15.0CLEGibson Driving Layup (24 PTS)82
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORBargnani P.FOUL (P3.T1)80
89
Q4 - 0:23.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)80
89
Q4 - 0:25.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0CLENesterovic STEAL (3 STL)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)80
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:04TORMISS Parker 19' Turnaround Jump Shot80
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:30TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:30CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:3980
89
Q4 - 1:39TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)80
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:39TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 1:40TORMISS Delfino 13' Running Bank Shot80
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 2:07CLEGibson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 2:15CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 2:16TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:36TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37TORMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:56TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 3:19CLECavaliers Rebound77
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 3:20TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 3:47CLEMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot77
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 4:03CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:04TORMISS Nesterovic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot77
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 4:06TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:07TORMISS Parker 14' Running Bank Shot77
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 4:32CLEGibson Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)77
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:36TORCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)75
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:48TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:03CLEGooden P.FOUL (P2.T1)75
89
Q4 - 5:03TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 5:05CLEMISS Pavlovic Driving Reverse Layup75
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 5:32TORBargnani 25' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 5:54TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 5:55CLEMISS Pavlovic 20' Pullup Jump Shot75
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 6:03CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 6:04TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot75
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 6:22TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 6:24CLEMISS Pavlovic Driving Layup75
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 6:42TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 6:58CLEJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)75
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 7:15CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 7:16TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot73
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 7:38TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford73
85
Q4 - 7:38TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono73
85
Q4 - 7:38TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
85
Q4 - 7:40CLEJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 7 AST)73
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 7:47CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 7:48TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:02TORRAPTORS Rebound70
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:03CLEMISS Ilgauskas 5' Jump Shot70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:05CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 8:06CLEMISS Gibson 10' Running Jump Shot70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 8:25TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot70
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 8:52CLEPavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gibson 6 AST)70
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 9:02TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)67
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:17CLEPavlovic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:39TORDelfino Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:56TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:57CLEMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot65
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 10:19TORFord Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)65
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 10:25CLENesterovic STEAL (2 STL)65
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 10:37CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Snow65
81
Q4 - 10:37CLESUB: Gooden FOR Newble65
81
Q4 - 10:37CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Brown65
81
Q4 - 10:37TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Parker65
81
Q4 - 10:37TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Moon65
81
Q4 - 10:37CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)65
81
Q4 - 10:44TORDelfino Running Tip Shot (22 PTS)65
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:45TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 10:47TORMISS Ford 4' Fadeaway Jumper65
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 11:05TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 11:07CLEMISS Snow Driving Reverse Layup65
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 11:32TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 11:46TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 11:48CLEMISS Gibson 10' Floating Jump Shot65
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q4 - 12:0065
76
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE65
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound65
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Brown Reverse Layup65
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Snow Free Throw 2 of 265
8.0%
76
92.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLESnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)65
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORDelfino P.FOUL (P3.PN)64
76
Q3 - 0:11.0TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0CLEPavlovic S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
74
Q3 - 0:31.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEMISS Newble 3PT Jump Shot64
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORFord Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)64
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 1:00CLEMISS Brown Layup64
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 1:21TORParker Foul Turnover (P3.T10)64
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 1:21TORParker OFF.Foul (P2)64
74
Q3 - 1:27TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 1:28CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 1:42CLESUB: Brown FOR Gibson64
74
Q3 - 1:42TORMoon Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)64
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 1:54TORSUB: Parker FOR Bargnani64
74
Q3 - 1:54CLEGibson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)64
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 1:54CLEGibson OFF.Foul (P3)64
74
Q3 - 2:00CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 2:01TORMISS Bargnani 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot64
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 2:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 2:21CLEMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot64
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 2:27CLENewble REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 2:28CLEMISS Snow Free Throw 2 of 264
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 2:28CLESUB: Gibson FOR Gooden64
74
Q3 - 2:28CLESnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 2:28TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.T4)63
74
Q3 - 2:40CLESUB: Snow FOR Gibson63
74
Q3 - 2:40TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon63
74
Q3 - 2:40TORDelfino P.FOUL (P2.T3)63
74
Q3 - 2:50CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 2:51TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 2:58TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 3:00CLEMISS Gibson 20' Step Back Jump Shot63
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 3:14TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 3:34TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 3:36CLEMISS Gooden Driving Layup63
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 3:52TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 3:52TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker63
71
Q3 - 3:52TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
15.7%
71
84.3%
Q3 - 3:52CLEGibson S.FOUL (P2.T4)63
70
Q3 - 4:12CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 4:16CLESUB: Jones FOR Brown60
70
Q3 - 4:16TORCalderon P.FOUL (P3.T2)60
70
Q3 - 4:24TORMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q3 - 4:48CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)60
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 5:04TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 5:04CLEGooden S.FOUL (P1.T3)57
69
Q3 - 5:04TORCalderon Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
69
Q3 - 5:12TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 5:13CLEMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot57
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q3 - 5:26TORCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
14.3%
67
85.7%
Q3 - 5:44CLENewble 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)57
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 5:54TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 5:54TORSUB: Delfino FOR Nesterovic57
64
Q3 - 5:54CLESUB: Newble FOR Ilgauskas57
64
Q3 - 5:54TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 5:54CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.T2)57
63
Q3 - 6:07TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
63
Q3 - 6:15CLEBrown Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)57
21.9%
63
78.1%
Q3 - 6:31CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 6:32TORMISS Moon 23' Jump Shot55
18.6%
63
81.4%
Q3 - 6:59CLEGooden Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)55
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 7:05TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 7:24CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 7:24CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 7:24TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T1)51
63
Q3 - 7:37TORNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:37TORNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 7:37CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T1)51
61
Q3 - 7:37TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 7:38TORMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Hook Shot51
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 7:44TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 7:46CLEBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)51
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 8:08CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
15.8%
61
84.2%
Q3 - 8:10TORMISS Parker Running Layup51
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 8:16TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 8:17CLEMISS Pavlovic 22' Jump Shot51
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 8:33CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
15.8%
61
84.2%
Q3 - 8:35TORMISS Parker 8' Jump Hook Shot51
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 8:56CLEIlgauskas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)51
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 9:09CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)51
61
Q3 - 9:09TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)51
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 9:16TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 9:18CLEMoon BLOCK (2 BLK)51
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 9:39TORParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)51
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q3 - 9:45CLEBargnani STEAL (1 STL)51
25.6%
56
74.4%
Q3 - 9:59TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 10:16CLEBrown 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gibson 5 AST)51
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 10:38CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 10:40TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot49
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 10:50TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
26.0%
54
74.0%
Q3 - 10:51CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot49
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 11:04TORBargnani 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)49
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q3 - 11:18CLEMoon STEAL (1 STL)49
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q3 - 11:40CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q3 - 11:41TORMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.4%
54
71.6%
Q3 - 12:0049
54
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR49
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE49
54
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEJones 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS) (Gibson 4 AST)49
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)46
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0CLEGooden 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)46
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORMISS Bargnani 13' Running Jump Shot44
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEGooden Tip Shot (11 PTS)44
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Newble Layup42
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0CLENewble REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 1:02CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Delfino Driving Dunk42
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 1:17CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 1:17TORSUB: Humphries FOR Nesterovic41
51
Q2 - 1:17CLESUB: Newble FOR Ilgauskas41
51
Q2 - 1:17CLECavaliers Rebound41
51
Q2 - 1:17CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 241
17.9%
51
82.1%
Q2 - 1:17TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
51
Q2 - 1:41TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)41
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 1:59CLEPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)41
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 2:11TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon38
48
Q2 - 2:11CLESUB: Jones FOR Brown38
48
Q2 - 2:11TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T3)38
48
Q2 - 2:30TORDelfino Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)38
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q2 - 2:41TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 2:42CLEMISS Gibson Driving Layup38
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 2:51CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
46
Q2 - 3:01CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 3:02TORMISS Bargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot38
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 3:16TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 3:18CLEMISS Gooden 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot38
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 3:35CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 3:36TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 238
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 3:36TORRAPTORS Rebound38
46
Q2 - 3:36TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 238
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 3:36CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T3)38
46
Q2 - 3:52CLEGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 3:56CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 3:57TORMISS Bargnani 18' Turnaround Jump Shot38
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 4:16CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 4:16TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Moon37
46
Q2 - 4:16CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 4:16CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Newble36
46
Q2 - 4:16TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono36
46
Q2 - 4:16TORMoon S.FOUL (P2.T2)36
46
Q2 - 4:42TORDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)36
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 5:01CLEBrown Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)36
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 5:06TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 5:11TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 5:12CLEMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot34
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 5:24TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
43
Q2 - 5:24TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 5:24TORCalderon OFF.Foul (P1)34
43
Q2 - 5:43TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 5:44CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot34
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 6:11TORMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)34
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 6:22CLENewble P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
40
Q2 - 6:35TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
26.0%
40
74.0%
Q2 - 6:36CLEMISS Gooden 7' Jump Shot34
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 6:38CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 6:39CLEMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot34
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 6:59TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)34
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 7:15CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 7:15CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
30.5%
38
69.5%
Q2 - 7:15TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic32
38
Q2 - 7:15CLESUB: Brown FOR Snow32
38
Q2 - 7:15CLESUB: Gooden FOR Ilgauskas32
38
Q2 - 7:15TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford32
38
Q2 - 7:15TORKapono S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
38
Q2 - 7:21CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 7:22TORMISS Ford Finger Roll Layup32
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 7:31TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 7:32CLEMISS Snow 17' Jump Shot32
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 7:47TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)32
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 8:00CLENewble 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 8:21TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)30
31.2%
35
68.8%
Q2 - 8:27CLESUB: Gibson FOR Jones30
33
Q2 - 8:27CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Brown30
33
Q2 - 8:2730
33
Q2 - 8:43CLEIlgauskas 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)30
33.6%
33
66.4%
Q2 - 9:07TORDelfino 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
31.2%
33
68.8%
Q2 - 9:14TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 9:15CLEMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot28
34.2%
31
65.8%
Q2 - 9:31TORKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)28
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 9:53TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 9:54CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 9:58CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 10:00TORMISS Kapono Driving Layup28
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 10:11CLESnow Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 10:28CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 10:29TORMISS Ford 21' Jump Shot28
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 10:38CLEIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
29
Q2 - 10:45CLEBrown Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)28
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 10:52TORKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 10:56CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 11:17TORMoon 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 11:32TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q2 - 11:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot28
44.3%
27
55.7%
Q2 - 11:46CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 11:47TORMISS Moon Layup28
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 12:0028
27
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE28
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound28
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Brown 71' 3PT Running Jump Shot28
44.3%
27
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot28
44.7%
27
55.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0CLESUB: Brown FOR Gooden28
27
Q1 - 0:06.0CLESnow P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
27
Q1 - 0:25.0TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0CLEMISS Gooden 10' Turnaround Hook Shot28
44.0%
27
56.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLESUB: Snow FOR Gibson27
27
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORDelfino S.FOUL (P1.PN)26
27
Q1 - 1:04TORMoon Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)26
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q1 - 1:20CLEGibson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)26
43.5%
25
56.5%
Q1 - 1:37TORBargnani 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)23
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q1 - 1:48TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 1:50CLEMISS Newble 4' Turnaround Hook Shot23
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 1:52CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q1 - 1:53CLEMISS Gooden 14' Turnaround Jump Shot23
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 2:16TORKapono Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)23
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q1 - 2:35CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)23
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 2:35TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon22
21
Q1 - 2:35TORSUB: Moon FOR Parker22
21
Q1 - 2:35TORSUB: Kapono FOR Nesterovic22
21
Q1 - 2:35CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
21
Q1 - 2:35TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T4)22
21
Q1 - 2:35CLEGooden 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 2:55TORDelfino 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)20
40.6%
21
59.4%
Q1 - 3:12CLEGooden 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 3:30TORCalderon Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 3:42CLEGooden 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)18
43.1%
17
56.9%
Q1 - 4:01CLESUB: Jones FOR Brown16
17
Q1 - 4:01TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon16
17
Q1 - 4:01CLESUB: Newble FOR Ilgauskas16
17
Q1 - 4:01TORBargnani P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
17
Q1 - 4:07TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)16
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 4:22CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)16
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 4:43CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 4:44TORMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot14
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 5:03CLEBrown Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)14
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q1 - 5:10TORParker Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 5:24CLENesterovic STEAL (1 STL)12
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 5:30TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 5:45CLEGibson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 5:56TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
13
Q1 - 5:56TORMoon Violation:Kicked Ball10
13
Q1 - 6:01TORMoon P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
13
Q1 - 6:13TORBargnani Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)10
37.2%
13
62.8%
Q1 - 6:20CLEGibson P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
11
Q1 - 6:29CLEGooden Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)10
38.9%
11
61.1%
Q1 - 6:31CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 6:32CLEMISS Gibson 20' Pullup Jump Shot8
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 6:43CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
37.4%
11
62.6%
Q1 - 6:44TORMISS Nesterovic 21' Jump Shot8
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 6:55CLEBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 6:55CLEBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 6:55TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
11
Q1 - 7:20TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)6
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 7:27TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 7:29CLEMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)6
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 7:36CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 7:37TORMISS Bargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot6
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 7:52TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 7:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot6
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 8:04CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 8:05TORMISS Nesterovic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot6
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 8:32CLEPavlovic 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 8:46TORParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 9:00CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:14TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)2
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 9:25TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:26CLEMISS Gooden 23' Jump Shot2
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:35TORNesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 9:37TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 9:38TORMISS Moon 16' Pullup Jump Shot2
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 9:58CLEIlgauskas 8' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:16CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:17TORMISS Bargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot0
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:25TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:27CLEMISS Pavlovic Driving Finger Roll Layup0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:33CLECavaliers Rebound0
40.8%
2
59.2%
Q1 - 10:34CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:50TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:50TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
41.1%
1
58.9%
Q1 - 10:50CLEBrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.7%
0
58.3%
Q1 - 11:10CLEMISS Gooden 7' Jump Shot0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:26CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 11:27TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:42CLEBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Pavlovic0
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLETOR
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.94 47.1%
TOR
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
10
23
43%
TOR
11
18
61%
Midrange
CLE
12
33
36%
TOR
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
TOR
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
CLE
14
17
82%
TOR
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gibson2467%12.0 / 18
S. Pavlovic1542%7.5 / 18
D. Gooden1547%7.5 / 16
D. Brown1045%5.0 / 11
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas643%3.0 / 7
I. Newble225%1.0 / 4
E. Snow233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2657%13.0 / 23
C. Delfino2480%12.0 / 15
J. Calderon1169%5.5 / 8
A. Parker941%4.5 / 11
J. Moon956%4.5 / 8
J. Kapono675%3.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic433%2.0 / 6
T. Ford220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
76
+11
-13
87
TOR
75
+7
-13
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.94 47.1%
TOR
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
109.7
CLE 92.1
TOR 103.4 +11.3
Pace
90.0
90.7
CLE 91.2 +4.4
TOR 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.9
CLE 15.8 −0.8
TOR 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
51.1%
CLE 44.2%
TOR 53.4% +9.2%
TO %
14.5%
12.3%
CLE 13.3% −1.7%
TOR 15.0%
ORB %
30.5%
23.5%
CLE 17.8%
TOR 18.4% +0.6%
FTrt
30.8
24.7
CLE 22.1 +1.6
TOR 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.0%
CLE 43.3%
TOR 68.6% +25.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.6%
CLE 10.1% +4.4%
TOR 5.7%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
CLE 5.2%
TOR 7.1% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
53.7%
CLE 47.1%
TOR 54.8% +7.7%
Rim FG%
57.7%
58.5%
CLE 43.5%
TOR 61.1% +17.6%
Mid FG%
36.9%
43.3%
CLE 36.4%
TOR 40.0% +3.6%
3P %
35.8%
39.2%
CLE 38.1%
TOR 53.3% +15.2%
FT %
71.7%
81.2%
CLE 82.4%
TOR 86.7% +4.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
28.9%
CLE 29.9% +5.2%
TOR 24.7%
Mid Att. %
42.2%
49.4%
CLE 42.9% −11.9%
TOR 54.8%
3P Att. %
23.1%
21.7%
CLE 27.3% +6.7%
TOR 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLETOR
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.424.3
Points8291
Rebounds3944
Assists1324
Steals95
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals30-7735-73
At-the-Rim FG10-2311-18
Midrange FG12-3316-40
2-Point FG22-5627-58
3-Point FG8-218-15
Free Throws14-1713-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 235 · 24
43.1
15
42%
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-11
27%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 200 · 22
41.8
24
67%
3
7
2
0
3
4
0
3
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 250 · 26
39.3
15
47%
14
2
5
1
2
2
3
11
1-1
100%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 32
32.4
6
43%
6
0
0
1
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
27.6
10
45%
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
26.0
8
57%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33
20.4
2
25%
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 35
9.6
2
33%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24
G · 6'3" 215 · 22
F · 6'8" 216 · 23
#24 · F · 6'9" 245 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'9" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
47%
39
13
9
3
13
0
8
31
14-17
82%
22-56
39%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.