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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs80%99106
30Timberwolves20%8991
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
39.7
33.3
20
67%
14
4
0
1
1
2
5
9
6-9
67%
7-11
7-14
64%
54%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.5
36.3
29.4
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
35.8
33.4
17
54%
4
9
2
1
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
6-13
8-14
46%
54%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
22.9
27.7
8
80%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
58%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
22.8
23.2
2
9%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-6
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
33.3
27.5
31
92%
3
4
3
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
7-9
78%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
20.9
18.4
8
80%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.8
13.8
14.5
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
7.7
12.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
5.6
10.0
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
1.2
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
10.6
0
0-1
42%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
39.3
33.5
23
51%
11
1
0
1
3
2
2
9
3-4
75%
10-21
7-14
48%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
39.2
25.0
17
64%
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
6-10
2-6
60%
41%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
33.9
20.1
14
65%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
12.3
14.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
12.0
35.5
4
100%
0
4
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
43%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
28.9
8.5
5
28%
5
2
3
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
24.7
27.2
8
44%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.1
19.7
17.5
10
59%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-1
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
16.7
21.3
7
70%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
13.4
4.6
3
23%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
1-1
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.5
7.0
0
1-2
43%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.