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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Lakers35%10096
9Jazz65%105120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
34.7
33.8
28
65%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-14
7-14
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.1
29.0
34.6
7
60%
4
1
0
1
1
4
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.1
26.2
27.5
8
56%
10
2
0
0
2
1
2
8
4-5
80%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.9
24.7
20.0
12
65%
3
3
0
0
2
3
1
2
4-5
80%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.3
20.4
26.4
3
19%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
42%
1-5
20%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.0
26.2
19.3
21
76%
3
3
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
3-7
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
20.1
23.7
6
43%
3
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.7
19.1
16.9
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
19.0
20.9
5
63%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
9.7
11.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 19.9
7.4
3.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.4
3.6
6.4
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
40.6
32.2
20
54%
11
11
6
1
4
0
7
4
9-10
90%
4-11
3-7
36%
51%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
39.7
37.3
35
67%
2
3
1
1
0
9
0
2
5-5
100%
12-21
6-11
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
35.9
21.4
20
67%
9
0
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-2
0%
10-14
3-6
71%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
32.1
31.7
14
44%
2
6
2
2
0
0
1
1
4-7
57%
5-12
4-8
42%
55%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
27.9
8.2
2
25%
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 20.9
17.0
12.7
6
60%
7
1
0
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
14.6
15.8
12
90%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
4-6
67%
4-4
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
14.0
12.1
5
42%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
8.8
2.3
4
52%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
4.4
5.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
2.9
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
1.9
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.0
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.