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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors44%9897
17Wizards56%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.5
43.4
32.1
16
53%
13
1
2
1
1
2
5
8
0-0
-
8-15
3-7
53%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
34.3
32.5
11
65%
2
11
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
53%
2-2
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.5
32.0
31.8
18
57%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
3-9
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
28.2
25.3
6
75%
8
2
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
24.8
31.1
4
15%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-11
4-8
18%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
30.6
22.4
23
74%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
29.6
27.6
15
47%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
3-9
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
13.7
18.5
4
52%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.5
3.4
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
5.4
0
1-1
44%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.1
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.7
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
43.3
40.5
29
70%
3
7
3
2
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
6-11
6-13
55%
48%
4-7
57%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
37.6
39.9
28
68%
14
0
0
1
2
3
3
11
5-6
83%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
34.3
32.1
4
45%
3
7
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.7
28.5
32.7
11
80%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
19.0
25.5
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
24.6
6.9
15
68%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
40%
3-4
75%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.8
17.8
17.2
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.3
16.5
21.1
5
51%
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
9.8
2.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
8.6
18.1
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
10.6
0
1-3
47%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.0
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.