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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves26%9880
24Grizzlies74%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
42.6
30.4
16
45%
7
6
2
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
6-14
3-7
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
31.5
17.0
12
56%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
28.7
35.4
9
42%
7
1
0
1
4
3
0
7
3-4
75%
3-9
8-16
33%
51%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.1
26.3
18.5
6
60%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
21.0
25.6
2
14%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
25.7
26.1
13
39%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
0-2
0%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
20.8
28.9
18
75%
3
0
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
17.4
19.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
10.8
8.7
4
33%
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
8.1
1.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
7.3
13.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.5
5.1
0
1-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
35.7
31.3
21
75%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
4-9
86%
48%
3-7
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
33.7
23.6
0
0%
5
2
1
1
5
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
31.3
32.9
18
68%
14
3
1
1
0
3
0
14
2-3
67%
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
25.9
31.4
13
45%
4
4
0
1
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
54%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
25.1
20.1
14
140%
3
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
4-4
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
22.9
26.7
2
50%
6
6
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
22.9
15.5
16
57%
10
2
0
0
4
0
4
6
6-9
67%
5-10
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
18.3
32.7
14
60%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
7.0
17.3
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
7.0
2.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
52%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
5.1
13.7
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
5.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.