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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bobcats31%9095
13Bulls69%96111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
38.8
32.7
22
50%
4
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
5-13
4-9
38%
46%
4-8
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
38.0
25.5
17
55%
0
7
3
1
1
6
0
0
7-8
88%
5-10
4-9
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
36.1
30.8
21
73%
9
1
1
1
3
0
3
6
1-3
33%
10-13
4-9
77%
48%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
29.1
33.1
5
25%
3
2
3
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
1-5
4-9
20%
41%
1-4
25%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
16.1
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
27.6
21.7
6
100%
0
6
1
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
27.3
21.1
13
65%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
3-4
75%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
14.7
5.5
7
93%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
8.4
10.5
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
4.0
20.7
4
42%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
11.8
0
1-3
48%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
40.5
34.8
10
44%
19
2
5
1
4
1
8
11
2-3
67%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
39.7
28.5
8
58%
2
7
1
1
0
6
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
36.5
38.4
34
76%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
5-7
71%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
34.2
32.5
29
65%
7
1
1
1
0
4
6
1
3-3
100%
13-21
7-13
62%
52%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
24.9
17.7
9
51%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
30.1
27.6
17
58%
9
3
0
0
0
3
1
8
4-4
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
16.6
19.9
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
4.2
12.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
3.5
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
3.3
15.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
3.3
3.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
3.3
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.