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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz54%103107
15Kings46%102117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
40.9
37.4
30
60%
3
7
1
1
1
4
0
3
7-7
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
50%
3-6
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
39.9
32.7
17
39%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-14
4-8
36%
48%
2-7
29%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
36.2
33.7
18
80%
6
2
1
2
0
1
3
3
4-5
80%
7-8
5-9
88%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
35.2
36.4
6
50%
3
6
0
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.0
32.6
36.6
19
62%
11
4
2
1
1
3
1
10
3-3
100%
8-14
10-18
57%
55%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
17.3
14.8
5
34%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
16.8
18.1
5
43%
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
8.8
14.2
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
7.3
7.4
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
5.1
11.5
2
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
5.5
0
1-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
45.3
37.2
23
56%
8
5
1
2
1
4
1
7
6-8
75%
7-14
5-12
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
38.3
34.1
13
58%
11
4
0
1
2
2
5
6
4-5
80%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.4
33.1
34.1
10
46%
2
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
30.7
37.1
25
63%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
9-13
69%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.1
28.4
27.0
11
56%
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.0
27.1
27.2
21
76%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
9-11
82%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
18.8
18.6
10
83%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
8.5
6.3
4
114%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
6.1
10.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.4
3.7
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.1
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.6
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.