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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls58%9691
25Bobcats42%9382
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
42.9
32.9
30
66%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
10-13
77%
10-17
7-14
59%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
34.3
35.1
13
57%
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
27.2
5.0
11
51%
5
3
0
0
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-9
1-2
44%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
22.1
41.1
0
0%
8
1
1
2
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
16.6
32.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
35.6
22.3
12
65%
5
9
0
1
0
3
2
3
4-5
80%
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
28.1
29.5
15
58%
11
4
0
1
0
2
1
10
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
23.1
10.4
8
82%
2
0
2
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
6.1
14.7
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
4.1
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
2.1
0
0-1
51%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
40.2
25.8
17
45%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
7-11
64%
5-10
3-7
50%
42%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
39.6
35.4
17
53%
5
3
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-10
57%
47%
3-9
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
37.1
27.0
10
57%
10
1
2
1
1
5
4
6
2-4
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
36.1
35.3
22
59%
8
0
3
2
0
1
2
6
4-8
50%
6-9
6-11
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
20.6
23.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
20.9
24.1
8
54%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
14.6
27.0
2
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
12.7
4.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
10.9
10.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
7.3
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
5.4
0
1-2
47%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.