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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies22%9692
5Rockets78%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
42.4
37.0
17
43%
10
1
1
1
1
1
6
4
0-0
-
7-16
5-10
44%
44%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
40.7
36.7
14
59%
9
4
0
1
0
3
1
8
1-2
50%
5-6
3-7
83%
50%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
38.4
34.0
23
56%
12
2
2
0
2
1
3
9
7-10
70%
8-15
6-13
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
35.5
26.0
10
36%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
42%
2-5
40%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
29.4
23.8
19
102%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
1-4
67%
40%
4-5
80%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
18.6
23.0
2
26%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
14.5
7.9
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
11.0
9.9
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
9.6
3.3
1
18%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-4
25%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
18.6
1
3-6
47%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
4.3
0
1-1
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.2
44.2
34.9
24
63%
13
1
1
0
4
2
5
8
4-5
80%
10-17
8-15
59%
54%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.5
42.4
36.8
17
36%
10
12
2
1
2
0
0
10
2-4
50%
6-16
8-17
38%
49%
1-6
17%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.4
38.3
29.6
7
39%
8
7
2
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.2
37.1
33.9
13
72%
3
1
1
1
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.5
15.7
18.3
2
33%
7
0
0
1
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
30.0
21.5
24
74%
7
2
1
1
0
1
4
3
2-5
40%
11-14
3-7
79%
47%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.6
17.0
18.2
16
78%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
6-8
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.8
9.7
21.5
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.5
5.1
17.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
0.5
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
3.2
0
0-0
53%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.2
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.