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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors19%8884
1Celtics81%100112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.5
34.4
36.6
2
17%
4
1
0
1
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
45%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
33.8
14.4
12
47%
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.5
27.8
31.3
13
50%
5
1
4
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
1-6
17%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
21.8
17.2
12
61%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
10.5
23.0
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
22.2
31.6
9
65%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.2
20.2
3.6
12
60%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
42%
2-3
67%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
18.1
19.8
7
39%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
14.2
32.2
4
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
13.1
11.8
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.8
12.0
6.4
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
34%
0-1
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.5
11.9
2.9
7
93%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.1
28.2
37.3
18
63%
5
6
1
1
2
2
1
4
4-5
80%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
26.9
34.4
13
49%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
24.7
31.7
23
74%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
9-13
6-12
69%
51%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.8
24.3
29.2
7
60%
5
7
2
2
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.1
15.1
22.3
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.9
27.6
15.4
9
65%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.9
27.2
23.6
10
85%
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
10
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
23.8
18.3
13
60%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
3-6
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 21.9
17.5
14.3
5
51%
3
0
1
0
0
4
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
16.5
6.2
5
64%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
8.2
2.7
5
64%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.8
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.