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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Grizzlies27%98116
11Hornets73%106118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
49.5
21.0
14
44%
9
9
1
1
1
4
0
9
6-9
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
46.6
35.4
26
69%
10
7
1
1
0
6
3
7
4-4
100%
11-17
7-13
65%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
45.8
38.4
31
67%
4
4
2
1
2
1
1
3
5-5
100%
10-16
5-11
63%
46%
2-5
40%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
43.6
19.3
8
57%
6
1
0
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
40.8
37.8
26
72%
5
3
0
1
1
3
2
3
5-7
71%
6-8
3-7
75%
51%
3-7
43%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
15.7
10.5
7
55%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
13.2
29.4
2
114%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
9.7
10.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
25.7
1
2-4
41%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
3.2
0
0-0
42%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
48.6
37.8
43
69%
5
9
4
2
0
3
1
4
8-9
89%
10-20
6-13
50%
49%
5-7
71%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.2
44.1
36.8
13
60%
19
1
1
1
0
1
7
12
1-2
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
59%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
41.0
38.4
27
59%
9
1
1
1
1
3
4
5
8-9
89%
8-17
8-16
47%
50%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.5
16.9
36.2
9
56%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
5.6
20.0
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.1
30.4
17.4
6
38%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
21.4
6.3
6
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
18.6
18.9
5
31%
4
4
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.5
17.5
7.1
4
40%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
11.9
11.3
3
28%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
8.8
5.2
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.