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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz35%9798
2Spurs65%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
40.6
38.1
28
69%
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
9-12
75%
8-13
6-12
62%
48%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.0
39.1
34.8
28
55%
17
4
2
1
0
9
4
13
4-6
67%
12-22
9-17
55%
54%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
36.2
34.0
14
64%
5
2
1
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
52%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
35.7
34.5
6
43%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
34.1
35.5
7
60%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
13.9
15.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
11.8
3.5
8
80%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
2-2
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
11.0
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
10.2
17.5
3
54%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
7.4
9.0
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
7.5
0
1-2
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
36.0
33.2
16
43%
2
7
2
1
0
5
0
2
6-10
60%
5-13
8-15
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
32.8
9.3
13
52%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
2-7
29%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
29.0
26.4
15
84%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
4-7
57%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.5
23.8
35.6
2
35%
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.8
16.8
20.6
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.4
35.8
32.4
37
63%
8
6
3
2
1
3
3
5
17-19
89%
7-14
4-9
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
31.2
25.0
4
50%
11
3
2
0
0
0
5
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
15.3
6.2
6
44%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
0-0
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
10.0
13.4
6
104%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
9.5
20.0
3
75%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
16.2
0
4-7
52%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
3.2
0
0-0
48%
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.