Final Win Prob. pScore
1628%98
113
1072%105
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
115.39887.3
GSW logo Warriors
122.498111.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA113
120
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)113
120
Q4 - 0:05.0GSWMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
120
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)113
120
Q4 - 0:31.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)113
120
Q4 - 0:33.0GSWMISS Hudson 3PT Jump Shot113
120
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)113
120
Q4 - 0:55.0GSWSUB: Hudson FOR Azubuike112
120
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)112
120
Q4 - 0:55.0GSWDavis S.FOUL (P2.PN)111
120
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)111
120
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot111
120
Q4 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)111
120
Q4 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)111
119
Q4 - 1:16MIAWade S.FOUL (P5.PN)111
118
Q4 - 1:19GSWJump Ball Barnes vs. Haslem: Tip to Ellis111
118
Q4 - 1:19GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)111
118
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Davis 3' Reverse Layup111
118
Q4 - 1:26GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)111
118
Q4 - 1:47MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)111
115
Q4 - 1:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)108
115
Q4 - 1:50GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)108
115
Q4 - 1:50GSWAzubuike Tip Shot (13 PTS)108
115
Q4 - 1:51GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
113
Q4 - 2:06GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
113
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot108
113
Q4 - 2:13MIAHeat Rebound108
113
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Cook Layup108
113
Q4 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)108
113
Q4 - 2:26MIADavis S.FOUL (P4.PN)108
112
Q4 - 2:26GSWEllis 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Azubuike 1 AST)108
112
Q4 - 2:30MIABarnes STEAL (1 STL)108
110
Q4 - 2:48GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)108
110
Q4 - 2:48GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)108
109
Q4 - 2:48MIACook P.FOUL (P3.PN)108
108
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)108
108
Q4 - 2:57GSWSUB: Barnes FOR Harrington107
108
Q4 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound107
108
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2107
108
Q4 - 2:57GSWJackson S.FOUL (P2.T4)107
108
Q4 - 3:16GSWDavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)107
108
Q4 - 3:23GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)107
105
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2107
105
Q4 - 3:24MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)107
105
Q4 - 3:24GSWJackson S.FOUL (P1.T3)106
105
Q4 - 3:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)106
105
Q4 - 3:29GSWMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot106
105
Q4 - 3:43MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)106
105
Q4 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)106
105
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot106
105
Q4 - 3:58GSWAzubuike 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)106
105
Q4 - 4:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)106
102
Q4 - 4:08MIADavis Tip Shot (17 PTS)106
102
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot104
102
Q4 - 4:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)104
102
Q4 - 4:30GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)104
102
Q4 - 4:34GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
99
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot104
99
Q4 - 4:51GSWHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
99
Q4 - 4:51GSWHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
98
Q4 - 4:51MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P5.PN)104
97
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T16)104
97
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade OFF.Foul (P4)104
97
Q4 - 4:59MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)104
97
Q4 - 5:00GSWMISS Davis 3' Driving Jump Shot104
97
Q4 - 5:08GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)104
97
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot104
97
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
97
Q4 - 5:35GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 2 of 2104
97
Q4 - 5:35GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
97
Q4 - 5:35GSWWARRIORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)104
96
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.PN)104
96
Q4 - 5:40MIAAzubuike STEAL (1 STL)104
96
Q4 - 5:53GSWWARRIORS Violation: Delay of game Violation104
96
Q4 - 5:54GSWEllis Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS)104
96
Q4 - 6:05MIADavis P.FOUL (P3.T4)104
94
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
94
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)103
94
Q4 - 6:18GSWHarrington S.FOUL (P3.T2)102
94
Q4 - 6:21MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)102
94
Q4 - 6:22GSWMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
94
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)102
94
Q4 - 6:41GSWWARRIORS Rebound102
94
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot102
94
Q4 - 6:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)102
94
Q4 - 6:54GSWMISS Azubuike 16' Jump Shot102
94
Q4 - 7:07GSWSUB: Harrington FOR Barnes102
94
Q4 - 7:07MIADavis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)102
94
Q4 - 7:26GSWDavis 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)102
94
Q4 - 7:45GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)102
92
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1102
92
Q4 - 7:46GSWBarnes S.FOUL (P5.T1)102
92
Q4 - 7:46MIADavis 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)102
92
Q4 - 7:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
92
Q4 - 7:58GSWMISS Davis 1' Driving Layup100
92
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)100
92
Q4 - 8:23MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
92
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot100
92
Q4 - 8:48GSWDavis 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)100
92
Q4 - 8:58GSWJackson Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)100
90
Q4 - 8:58100
89
Q4 - 8:58MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )100
89
Q4 - 9:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)100
89
Q4 - 9:10MIAWright 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)100
89
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 9:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
89
Q4 - 9:21GSWMISS Ellis 3' Layup98
89
Q4 - 9:25GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
89
Q4 - 9:26GSWMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 9:32GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
89
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 9:58GSWJackson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)98
89
Q4 - 10:06MIACook P.FOUL (P2.T2)98
87
Q4 - 10:16MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)98
87
Q4 - 10:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
87
Q4 - 10:34GSWMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot95
87
Q4 - 10:43GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)95
87
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot95
87
Q4 - 11:03GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
87
Q4 - 11:03GSWSUB: Davis FOR Harrington95
86
Q4 - 11:03GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
86
Q4 - 11:03MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T1)95
85
Q4 - 11:12MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (30 PTS)95
85
Q4 - 11:29GSWAzubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)93
85
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)93
82
Q4 - 12:0091
82
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW91
82
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound91
82
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Hudson 52' 3PT Jump Shot91
82
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)91
82
Q3 - 0:18.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)89
82
Q3 - 0:18.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)89
81
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.PN)89
80
Q3 - 0:19.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)89
80
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 289
80
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
80
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T4)89
79
Q3 - 0:25.0GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
79
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
79
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWMISS Barnes Layup89
79
Q3 - 0:27.0GSWMISS Azubuike Layup89
79
Q3 - 0:30.0GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
79
Q3 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
79
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
79
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
79
Q3 - 0:59.0GSWHarrington 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)89
79
Q3 - 1:04GSWSUB: Azubuike FOR Davis89
77
Q3 - 1:04GSWWARRIORS Rebound89
77
Q3 - 1:06GSWMISS Hudson 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
77
Q3 - 1:11GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
77
Q3 - 1:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
77
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Davis Tip Shot89
77
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot89
77
Q3 - 1:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
77
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot89
77
Q3 - 1:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
77
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot89
77
Q3 - 1:56GSWHarrington 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)89
77
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade 12' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)89
75
Q3 - 2:25GSWHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)87
75
Q3 - 2:42MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
72
Q3 - 2:55GSWHudson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)84
72
Q3 - 3:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
72
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: Cook FOR Haslem83
72
Q3 - 3:05GSWSUB: Barnes FOR Pietrus83
72
Q3 - 3:05MIAHeat Rebound83
72
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 283
72
Q3 - 3:05GSWHarrington S.FOUL (P2.PN)83
72
Q3 - 3:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
72
Q3 - 3:19GSWMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
72
Q3 - 3:41MIADavis 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal81
72
Q3 - 3:56GSWSUB: Hudson FOR Ellis81
72
Q3 - 3:56GSWSUB: Harrington FOR Biedrins81
72
Q3 - 3:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)81
72
Q3 - 4:10GSWJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)81
72
Q3 - 4:16MIABiedrins STEAL (2 STL)81
69
Q3 - 4:30MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
69
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot81
69
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
69
Q3 - 4:43GSWMISS Ellis 17' Fadeaway Jumper81
69
Q3 - 4:51MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)81
69
Q3 - 4:57GSWJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)81
69
Q3 - 5:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound81
69
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 181
69
Q3 - 5:15GSWBiedrins S.FOUL (P2.T4)81
69
Q3 - 5:15MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (13 PTS)81
69
Q3 - 5:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
69
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot79
69
Q3 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
69
Q3 - 5:31GSWMISS Jackson 3' Layup79
69
Q3 - 5:42GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)79
69
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
69
Q3 - 5:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
69
Q3 - 5:59GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 279
69
Q3 - 5:59GSWWARRIORS Rebound79
69
Q3 - 5:59GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 279
69
Q3 - 5:59GSWWARRIORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)79
69
Q3 - 5:59MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.T3)79
69
Q3 - 6:03MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)79
69
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
69
Q3 - 6:15GSWMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot79
69
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)79
69
Q3 - 6:36GSWDavis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)79
69
Q3 - 6:41MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)79
69
Q3 - 6:56GSWEllis 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
69
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
67
Q3 - 7:07GSWSUB: Pietrus FOR Barnes78
67
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 7:07GSWBarnes S.FOUL (P4.T3)77
67
Q3 - 7:20GSWBiedrins 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)77
67
Q3 - 7:31MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)77
65
Q3 - 7:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
65
Q3 - 7:44GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 275
65
Q3 - 7:44GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
65
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)75
64
Q3 - 8:02MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
64
Q3 - 8:02MIAHeat Rebound74
64
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 274
64
Q3 - 8:02GSWBarnes S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
64
Q3 - 8:15GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
64
Q3 - 8:15GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
63
Q3 - 8:15MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T1)74
62
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
62
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Tip Shot (20 PTS)74
62
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot72
62
Q3 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
62
Q3 - 8:52GSWMISS Davis 15' Fadeaway Jumper72
62
Q3 - 9:15MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)72
62
Q3 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
62
Q3 - 9:30GSWMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot70
62
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)70
62
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
62
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 10:10MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)68
62
Q3 - 10:15GSWDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)68
62
Q3 - 10:30GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)68
59
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot68
59
Q3 - 10:48GSWJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)68
59
Q3 - 10:57GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)68
56
Q3 - 10:58GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot68
56
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)68
56
Q3 - 11:21GSWBarnes P.FOUL (P2.T1)66
56
Q3 - 11:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
56
Q3 - 11:39GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
56
Q3 - 12:0066
56
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA66
56
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW66
56
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWEllis 17' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)66
56
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)66
54
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
54
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)66
52
Q2 - 0:43.0GSWDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)64
52
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)64
52
Q2 - 1:16GSWBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)64
52
Q2 - 1:19MIASUB: Wright FOR Davis64
49
Q2 - 1:19MIASUB: Mourning FOR Haslem64
49
Q2 - 1:19MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)64
49
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
49
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
49
Q2 - 1:34GSWDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)62
49
Q2 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
49
Q2 - 1:45GSWMISS Jackson 4' Driving Jump Shot62
49
Q2 - 2:07MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)62
49
Q2 - 2:10MIASUB: Davis FOR Wright59
49
Q2 - 2:10MIAHeat Rebound59
49
Q2 - 2:10MIABiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)59
49
Q2 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
49
Q2 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
48
Q2 - 2:26GSWSUB: Barnes FOR Pietrus59
47
Q2 - 2:2659
47
Q2 - 2:26MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
47
Q2 - 2:30GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
47
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot59
47
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
47
Q2 - 2:39GSWMISS Jackson 2' Layup59
47
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)59
47
Q2 - 3:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
47
Q2 - 3:07GSWMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
47
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Cook FOR O'Neal57
47
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Wright FOR Davis57
47
Q2 - 3:21MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)57
47
Q2 - 3:39GSWEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
47
Q2 - 3:44GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
45
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot57
45
Q2 - 3:59GSWDavis 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)57
45
Q2 - 4:05GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)57
43
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
43
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
43
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
43
Q2 - 4:32MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)57
43
Q2 - 4:39GSWBiedrins Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)57
43
Q2 - 4:47GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
41
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot57
41
Q2 - 5:05GSWBiedrins 1' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)57
41
Q2 - 5:15MIABiedrins STEAL (1 STL)57
39
Q2 - 5:26GSWSUB: Biedrins FOR Harrington57
39
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
39
Q2 - 5:35GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot57
39
Q2 - 5:47MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)57
39
Q2 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
39
Q2 - 6:02GSWMISS Davis 3PT Finger Roll Layup54
39
Q2 - 6:17GSWSUB: Jackson FOR Azubuike54
39
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)54
39
Q2 - 6:32GSWEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
39
Q2 - 6:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
37
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
37
Q2 - 7:04GSWMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
37
Q2 - 7:16MIADavis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
37
Q2 - 7:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
37
Q2 - 7:30GSWMISS Azubuike 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
37
Q2 - 7:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
37
Q2 - 7:39GSWAzubuike Violation:Lane49
37
Q2 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound49
37
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
37
Q2 - 7:39GSWPietrus S.FOUL (P2.T3)49
37
Q2 - 7:54MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook49
37
Q2 - 7:54MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning49
37
Q2 - 7:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)49
37
Q2 - 8:04GSWHarrington 1' Layup (2 PTS)49
37
Q2 - 8:04GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
35
Q2 - 8:06GSWMISS Harrington Layup49
35
Q2 - 8:09GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
35
Q2 - 8:10GSWMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot49
35
Q2 - 8:28GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
35
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
35
Q2 - 8:29MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
35
Q2 - 8:29MIASUB: Haslem FOR Wright48
35
Q2 - 8:29GSWPietrus S.FOUL (P1.T2)48
35
Q2 - 8:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
35
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Cook Layup48
35
Q2 - 8:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
35
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Cook 3' Running Layup48
35
Q2 - 9:00GSWPietrus 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)48
35
Q2 - 9:06GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
33
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
33
Q2 - 9:22MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
33
Q2 - 9:23GSWMISS Davis Layup48
33
Q2 - 9:25GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
33
Q2 - 9:28GSWMISS Harrington Driving Dunk48
33
Q2 - 9:35MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T1)48
33
Q2 - 9:42GSWDavis Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)48
33
Q2 - 9:42MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )48
32
Q2 - 9:58GSWSUB: Pietrus FOR Barnes48
32
Q2 - 9:58GSWWARRIORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)48
32
Q2 - 10:01MIADavis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)48
32
Q2 - 10:04GSWDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
32
Q2 - 10:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
32
Q2 - 10:16MIAMourning Putback Dunk (3 PTS)46
32
Q2 - 10:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
32
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot44
32
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot44
32
Q2 - 10:30GSWSUB: Davis FOR Jackson44
32
Q2 - 10:30GSWBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
32
Q2 - 10:40MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
32
Q2 - 10:40MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade43
32
Q2 - 10:40GSWSUB: Ellis FOR Hudson43
32
Q2 - 10:40MIAHeat Rebound43
32
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 243
32
Q2 - 10:40GSWHarrington S.FOUL (P1.T1)43
32
Q2 - 10:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
32
Q2 - 10:48GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
32
Q2 - 10:58MIAWright 3' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)43
32
Q2 - 11:20GSWAzubuike 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)41
32
Q2 - 11:27MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)41
30
Q2 - 11:42MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
30
Q2 - 11:43GSWMISS Barnes Layup39
30
Q2 - 11:46GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
30
Q2 - 11:47GSWMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 12:0039
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA39
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound39
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Running Jump Shot39
30
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
30
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Azubuike 2' Layup39
30
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade 20' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
30
Q1 - 0:38.0GSWJackson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)37
30
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWade 3' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
28
Q1 - 1:00GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
28
Q1 - 1:00GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
27
Q1 - 1:00MIADavis S.FOUL (P2.PN)35
26
Q1 - 1:18MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
26
Q1 - 1:18MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
26
Q1 - 1:18GSWAzubuike S.FOUL (P1.PN)33
26
Q1 - 1:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26
Q1 - 1:22GSWMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot33
26
Q1 - 1:36GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)33
26
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 233
26
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
26
Q1 - 1:38GSWSUB: Azubuike FOR Davis32
26
Q1 - 1:38GSWBarnes P.FOUL (P1.PN)32
26
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
26
Q1 - 1:39GSWMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot32
26
Q1 - 1:43GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
26
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot32
26
Q1 - 2:08GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)32
26
Q1 - 2:08GSWBiedrins 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)32
26
Q1 - 2:10GSWMISS Barnes 8' Running Jump Shot32
24
Q1 - 2:22MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)32
24
Q1 - 2:22GSWWARRIORS Rebound32
24
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
24
Q1 - 2:39GSWBiedrins 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)32
24
Q1 - 2:56MIAWright 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
22
Q1 - 3:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
22
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
22
Q1 - 3:21GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
22
Q1 - 3:21GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
21
Q1 - 3:21MIADavis L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)30
20
Q1 - 3:21GSWWARRIORS Rebound30
20
Q1 - 3:21GSWMISS Hudson 8' Jump Shot30
20
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
20
Q1 - 3:30GSWSUB: Hudson FOR Ellis29
20
Q1 - 3:30MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal29
20
Q1 - 3:30GSWSUB: Biedrins FOR Mbenga29
20
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
20
Q1 - 3:30GSWMbenga S.FOUL (P3.PN)28
20
Q1 - 3:50GSWJackson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)28
20
Q1 - 3:55MIAWright 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
18
Q1 - 4:10MIASUB: Cook FOR Williams26
18
Q1 - 4:10GSWMbenga P.FOUL (P2.T4)26
18
Q1 - 4:27GSWJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)26
18
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
15
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
15
Q1 - 4:41GSWMbenga S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
15
Q1 - 4:46MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)24
15
Q1 - 4:46GSWWARRIORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )23
15
Q1 - 4:56GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
15
Q1 - 4:56GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
14
Q1 - 4:56MIASUB: Davis FOR Haslem23
13
Q1 - 4:56MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T4)23
13
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
13
Q1 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13
Q1 - 5:18GSWMISS Ellis 6' Running Jump Shot21
13
Q1 - 5:34MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
13
Q1 - 5:38GSWJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
13
Q1 - 5:43GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
13
Q1 - 5:44GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
13
Q1 - 5:51MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T3)18
13
Q1 - 5:56GSWSUB: Mbenga FOR Biedrins18
13
Q1 - 5:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)18
13
Q1 - 6:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
13
Q1 - 6:11GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
13
Q1 - 6:22MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
13
Q1 - 6:41GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 6:41GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:41MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 6:49MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)14
11
Q1 - 7:05GSWJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)14
11
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 7:11GSWEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
8
Q1 - 7:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
8
Q1 - 7:15GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 7:15GSWMISS Biedrins Tip Shot12
8
Q1 - 7:16GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 7:16GSWMISS Biedrins Tip Shot12
8
Q1 - 7:17GSWMISS Davis 3' Layup12
8
Q1 - 7:24GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot12
8
Q1 - 7:47GSWDavis 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 7:53GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
6
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 8:11GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 8:11GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
5
Q1 - 8:11MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
4
Q1 - 8:15MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)12
4
Q1 - 8:19GSWSUB: Barnes FOR Harrington12
4
Q1 - 8:19GSWBiedrins P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 8:33GSWMISS Ellis 4' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 8:38GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 8:55GSWJackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)12
4
Q1 - 8:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
2
Q1 - 8:59GSWMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
2
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
2
Q1 - 9:30GSWBiedrins 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)10
2
Q1 - 9:50MIAWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
0
Q1 - 10:01GSWBiedrins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
0
Q1 - 10:01GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wright8
0
Q1 - 10:01GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
0
Q1 - 10:03GSWMISS Davis 19' Step Back Jump Shot8
0
Q1 - 10:17GSWWARRIORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
0
Q1 - 10:20MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 10:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
0
Q1 - 10:27GSWMISS Ellis 3' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 10:40MIAWright 3' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
0
Q1 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:47GSWMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 11:05MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:23GSWMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
GSW
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
32
63%
GSW
21
41
51%
Midrange
MIA
15
38
39%
GSW
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
GSW
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
25
35
71%
GSW
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3357%16.5 / 29
R. Davis2050%10.0 / 20
D. Wright1959%9.5 / 16
S. O'Neal1393%6.5 / 7
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
J. Williams880%4.0 / 5
D. Cook528%2.5 / 9
A. Mourning563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2858%14.0 / 24
B. Davis2560%12.5 / 21
M. Ellis2155%10.5 / 19
A. Biedrins1478%7.0 / 9
K. Azubuike1365%6.5 / 10
A. Harrington1243%6.0 / 14
M. Barnes536%2.5 / 7
M. Pietrus2100%1.0 / 1
T. Hudson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+21
-18
101
GSW
90
+20
-8
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
GSW
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
111.5
MIA 115.3
GSW 122.4 +7.1
Pace
90.5
99.1
MIA 87.3
GSW 111.7 +24.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.8
MIA 16.5
GSW 12.9 −3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.1%
MIA 53.0% +5.1%
GSW 47.9%
TO %
15.4%
13.0%
MIA 16.2%
GSW 6.8% −9.4%
ORB %
22.2%
27.2%
MIA 43.9% +13.5%
GSW 30.4%
FTrt
30.0
27.6
MIA 42.2 +5.0
GSW 37.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.9%
MIA 51.2%
GSW 53.8% +2.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.1%
MIA 5.1%
GSW 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.1%
6.9%
MIA 11.3% +9.9%
GSW 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.7%
MIA 54.9% +0.8%
GSW 54.1%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.6%
MIA 62.5% +11.3%
GSW 51.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.3%
MIA 39.5% +10.9%
GSW 28.6%
3P %
35.8%
34.8%
MIA 46.2% +8.7%
GSW 37.5%
FT %
72.7%
75.2%
MIA 71.4%
GSW 85.7% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
40.6%
MIA 38.6%
GSW 43.6% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
29.9%
MIA 45.8%
GSW 22.3% −23.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
29.5%
MIA 15.7%
GSW 34.0% +18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points113120
Rebounds5740
Assists2121
Steals59
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)23 (3)
Field Goals41-8339-94
At-the-Rim FG20-3221-41
Midrange FG15-386-21
2-Point FG35-7027-62
3-Point FG6-1312-32
Free Throws25-3530-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
45.2
33
57%
2
10
0
0
7
5
1
1
11-12
92%
11-23
48%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
42.0
19
59%
18
1
0
3
0
2
5
13
2-4
50%
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
35.1
10
56%
9
1
0
1
3
5
1
8
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
21.1
13
93%
10
1
2
0
3
2
3
7
1-3
33%
6-6
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
18.5
8
80%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
38.4
20
50%
10
1
1
1
2
4
4
6
1-3
33%
5-14
36%
3-5
60%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
26.7
5
28%
7
1
2
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
12.8
5
63%
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
57
21
5
7
18
0
18
39
25-35
71%
35-70
50%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.