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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nets42%9789
16Wizards58%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
42.7
39.2
9
36%
2
3
1
1
1
5
0
2
1-1
100%
4-10
7-15
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
39.7
36.8
30
76%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-6
67%
7-11
6-12
64%
48%
4-6
67%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
38.4
29.2
13
55%
10
13
1
1
0
5
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
15.0
22.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
11.2
24.1
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
44%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
27.8
16.4
8
41%
3
1
1
0
1
3
2
1
2-4
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
26.5
25.1
17
69%
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
3-7
43%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
24.6
4.4
6
75%
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
9.6
9.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
3.5
17.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.3
1.1
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
13.3
0
1-3
51%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
46.0
37.5
22
45%
10
3
2
1
0
0
3
7
7-8
88%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
1-7
14%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
44.6
39.2
28
56%
6
5
1
2
0
1
4
2
8-9
89%
10-18
6-13
56%
49%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.7
36.8
21.7
12
52%
3
0
1
1
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
34.8
32.4
10
59%
4
5
4
1
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
23.1
23.4
10
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
6-6
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
19.5
22.2
9
104%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
1-4
-
42%
2-3
67%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.8
15.2
15.0
11
65%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.3
8.0
21.8
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
6.5
17.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
5.4
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
10.4
0
1-3
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.0
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.