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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat16%98117
2Suns84%110113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
48.0
38.5
21
57%
12
1
1
1
0
1
1
11
7-8
88%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
42.3
39.4
31
67%
3
6
3
2
0
5
1
2
5-5
100%
13-21
9-19
62%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
34.3
20.9
12
86%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
2-3
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
33.0
23.6
16
62%
12
4
2
1
1
0
1
11
2-2
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
46%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
29.0
26.5
18
77%
11
5
1
0
1
3
5
6
4-4
100%
7-10
6-10
70%
56%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
34.4
34.0
12
55%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
18.9
14.7
7
60%
1
0
0
0
3
4
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
18.9
1
2-4
45%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.4
5.8
0
0-1
41%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
5.1
0
1-2
44%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
41.3
35.0
19
86%
6
4
4
2
4
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-5
5-9
100%
57%
3-6
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.1
37.7
33.2
19
63%
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
3-5
60%
8-13
8-14
62%
57%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
36.1
32.2
19
56%
3
5
0
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.8
35.6
35.3
11
41%
0
14
2
1
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
56%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.2
32.1
34.2
19
59%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
3-5
60%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.6
20.4
13.4
13
89%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-3
33%
6-6
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.0
20.3
28.4
11
31%
3
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
54%
2-10
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
16.6
19.6
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.2
2.6
0
0-0
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.3
2.3
0
0-1
49%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.5
2.0
0
0-1
47%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.