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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28SuperSonics26%9396
12Bulls74%102123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
27.6
34.2
8
50%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
24.8
28.3
9
53%
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
0-3
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
24.3
34.7
16
66%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
4-8
6-13
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
22.8
32.6
9
46%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
20.0
23.1
6
60%
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
28.0
15.7
5
37%
6
4
2
0
0
3
1
5
1-4
25%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
24.9
24.7
12
61%
4
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
19.4
22.9
6
43%
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
19.2
6.1
12
67%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
11.8
12.8
9
78%
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
8.6
5.4
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
8.6
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
35.3
33.1
27
71%
5
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
9-13
5-11
69%
47%
3-6
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
30.0
35.9
15
76%
6
8
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
28.3
38.1
20
53%
4
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
10-18
9-17
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
27.3
19.8
19
81%
3
2
0
1
0
5
1
2
3-4
75%
8-10
3-7
80%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
24.3
35.4
4
40%
7
1
0
2
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
20.5
5.9
8
46%
9
4
2
0
1
1
3
6
6-6
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
16.4
23.3
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
14.4
5.1
5
51%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
12.1
14.3
3
31%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
12.0
2.0
6
60%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
11.3
26.3
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
8.3
1.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
52%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.