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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves24%8994
1776ers76%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
32.3
35.8
4
33%
4
11
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
31.8
37.5
22
50%
11
1
0
1
2
1
6
5
2-5
40%
10-20
8-17
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
29.5
29.4
14
67%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-8
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.1
28.1
32.8
8
37%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-9
6-11
33%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.8
24.7
33.7
4
34%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
35.4
26.9
15
50%
3
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.3
23.4
13.3
9
51%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
18.8
12.4
14
64%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
3-7
43%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
16.2
8.2
4
100%
4
0
2
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.5
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
4.6
0
0-0
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
40.1
36.8
25
60%
8
4
3
2
0
2
3
5
7-9
78%
6-14
5-10
43%
52%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
39.6
32.3
18
78%
11
0
0
1
9
3
3
8
8-8
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
34.9
35.5
10
52%
3
8
3
1
0
3
2
1
6-6
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
34.6
25.6
18
61%
5
4
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
24.3
22.4
6
51%
6
0
0
1
0
4
3
3
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.7
23.2
26.4
5
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
17.6
19.5
4
23%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-6
3-6
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.5
12.1
11.6
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.8
12.0
15.9
8
67%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.6
1.6
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
8.7
0
1-2
43%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.0
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.