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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls52%99102
24Pacers48%98117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
38.5
33.9
18
40%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
7-18
5-12
39%
45%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
33.1
33.6
15
44%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
5-5
100%
5-15
8-16
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
28.0
33.1
11
75%
1
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
44%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
25.1
30.3
0
0%
6
2
1
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
21.7
22.8
16
54%
5
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
25.4
20.5
4
52%
2
4
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
21.4
19.9
11
58%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
14.1
13.4
9
63%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
9.2
4.9
3
39%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
9.0
13.2
8
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
8.9
9.8
5
83%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
5.3
7.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
41.6
34.0
18
60%
3
8
3
2
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
35.6
28.7
18
68%
9
0
1
1
4
2
2
7
4-5
80%
7-11
6-13
64%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
27.4
31.9
17
79%
9
6
0
1
0
4
1
8
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
24.2
36.8
9
50%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.6
14.7
29.6
8
69%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.9
34.1
17.8
18
83%
7
3
0
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
1-2
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
30.4
16.6
22
82%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
42%
3-6
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.8
15.1
19.9
5
64%
2
3
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.3
10.1
9.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
2.3
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
2.3
3.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.1
2.3
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.