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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings12%8878
1Celtics88%10390
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
41.1
39.1
16
40%
3
4
1
2
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
7-14
5-12
50%
43%
0-5
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.0
37.9
34.7
10
54%
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.4
37.3
33.1
16
62%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.7
35.7
33.0
14
58%
7
3
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.1
20.9
26.6
6
75%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.4
25.1
10.9
4
67%
4
1
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
21.1
28.8
10
44%
4
2
0
1
0
3
3
1
2-3
67%
1-7
3-7
14%
47%
2-3
67%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
11.1
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
9.9
10.4
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.9
12.4
0
2-4
47%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
8.7
0
1-3
43%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.6
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.2
44.4
34.6
26
64%
6
4
2
1
1
1
0
6
11-12
92%
6-9
5-9
67%
51%
1-6
17%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
36.0
34.8
15
54%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
3-6
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
35.5
31.0
11
51%
6
1
2
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 21.9
26.8
19.1
16
77%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
10-10
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.8
26.3
32.1
0
0%
3
5
2
2
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
23.0
17.5
8
40%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-7
29%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.9
19.9
23.2
8
59%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.9
12.2
15.7
2
33%
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
10.4
7.5
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
5.5
3.8
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.1
16.7
0
2-3
56%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.8
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.