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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics38%100117
28Knicks62%104110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
35.3
30.2
30
64%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
10-15
5-11
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
30.2
21.7
9
61%
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
4
3-3
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
28.0
31.1
11
56%
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
24.7
26.8
6
50%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
19.2
28.3
8
46%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
29.9
21.6
10
71%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
27.9
21.0
17
51%
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-6
50%
7-14
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
24.2
24.5
12
87%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
17.2
13.0
12
120%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
3.3
12.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
7.5
0
1-2
49%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
4.8
0
1-1
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
42.4
28.3
27
65%
16
4
0
1
0
3
6
10
5-6
83%
11-18
6-13
61%
49%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
41.6
41.3
29
61%
3
6
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
31.9
33.3
2
20%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.0
24.1
26.4
12
55%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-11
6-10
55%
57%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
12.3
32.3
6
44%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
32.4
29.1
16
67%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
2-2
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
59%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.5
25.7
10.8
12
34%
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
1-8
13%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
23.9
10.1
6
52%
8
1
2
0
0
1
5
3
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
5.7
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.6
2.9
0
0-1
50%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
2.3
0
0-1
51%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.8
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.