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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Magic65%10686
25Bucks35%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.0
41.4
39.2
20
50%
13
2
1
1
1
5
3
10
8-16
50%
6-13
7-12
46%
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.7
41.4
35.2
18
58%
9
2
0
1
0
3
1
8
7-10
70%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
3-7
43%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
41.2
36.4
20
56%
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
6-14
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.8
29.1
28.3
4
22%
2
7
1
1
0
6
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
22.6
31.9
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
27.3
17.8
4
21%
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
21.6
16.5
14
56%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-8
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
5.9
6.4
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
5.3
5.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
4.1
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
5.7
0
0-1
48%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.3
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
44.3
37.5
27
66%
10
9
0
1
0
5
0
10
7-8
88%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.1
34.1
23.9
18
71%
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
4-4
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.2
32.6
25.6
4
23%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-6
33%
1-6
3-8
17%
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.0
30.9
36.1
11
70%
9
2
1
1
1
4
0
9
1-2
50%
5-7
6-12
71%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.0
29.4
36.8
17
62%
6
7
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
4-7
5-11
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
32.0
18.2
13
60%
5
3
1
1
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
1-5
20%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
16.9
9.6
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
9.4
8.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.3
5.4
22.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
5.0
4.3
6
46%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-8
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.0
17.2
1
2-4
43%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.9
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.