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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic62%101103
22Bobcats38%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.0
38.8
39.7
33
67%
18
0
0
1
4
4
6
12
11-20
55%
11-16
7-12
69%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.7
38.3
37.5
22
75%
4
5
2
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.8
35.8
28.6
13
108%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-7
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
35.5
37.8
13
48%
11
3
1
1
0
2
2
9
5-6
83%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
2-8
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
27.9
27.3
7
35%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
25.1
18.9
13
74%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
13.2
4.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
12.5
21.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-4
0%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
9.2
6.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
3.8
5.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.3
3.8
0
0-1
44%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
42.2
36.5
16
37%
7
5
2
2
0
2
3
4
4-6
67%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-6
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
38.8
32.5
18
65%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
36.0
35.8
16
51%
12
1
1
1
0
2
5
7
2-4
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
34.5
32.9
15
54%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
3-6
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
7.9
12.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
23.0
24.0
2
33%
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
20.3
18.8
7
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
14.0
6.2
5
66%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
12.0
9.6
6
75%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
7.8
8.1
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
3.5
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
15.4
0
3-6
45%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.