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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Cavaliers43%9297
18Nets57%94105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
41.1
18.8
29
55%
6
8
2
1
0
6
0
6
2-3
67%
9-16
4-8
56%
51%
3-9
33%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.8
32.4
34.2
12
113%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
3-4
75%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.5
32.2
28.7
21
69%
12
6
2
1
1
1
5
7
5-5
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.2
27.9
26.6
13
67%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
5-8
5-9
63%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
14.4
24.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
33.6
24.8
9
30%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-11
3-7
27%
41%
1-4
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.2
25.6
21.8
6
60%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
13.0
16.7
2
25%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.6
9.3
20.9
2
100%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
8.6
21.4
3
44%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.0
1.9
23.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
10.0
0
1-2
44%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
41.9
38.2
32
67%
7
6
1
1
0
2
3
4
4-4
100%
11-20
6-12
55%
48%
2-2
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
37.8
39.8
24
56%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
10-12
83%
7-13
7-15
54%
50%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
36.6
34.7
8
51%
8
11
5
1
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
5.9
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
4.8
19.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
26.8
18.5
15
52%
8
0
1
0
0
2
5
3
3-8
38%
6-11
2-4
55%
52%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
23.8
22.4
13
60%
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
22.1
6.7
9
70%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
20.6
21.7
2
33%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
11.4
9.4
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
8.4
8.0
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
10.2
0
1-3
45%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.