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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hawks20%8681
3Pistons80%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.5
38.1
34.7
15
66%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
7-10
70%
4-7
5-11
57%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
38.1
38.5
23
50%
5
2
3
1
0
2
2
3
5-7
71%
9-17
6-12
53%
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
37.5
35.2
14
40%
9
3
1
1
1
5
3
6
6-6
100%
4-14
6-13
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.2
29.1
26.7
8
36%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
28.6
8.8
6
63%
12
1
0
0
1
0
2
10
2-4
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
22.1
5.7
10
43%
11
0
1
0
0
1
6
5
6-6
100%
2-9
1-2
22%
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.9
16.1
18.5
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-4
29%
42%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
10.6
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
9.1
2.4
1
17%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
9.0
17.7
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
1.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
28.6
1
3-7
48%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.2
37.8
34.9
23
69%
5
2
1
1
1
6
1
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
3-7
43%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
37.5
28.8
5
36%
14
2
0
1
3
0
2
12
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.8
36.1
37.1
18
48%
3
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.8
36.1
33.1
17
63%
10
5
0
1
0
6
3
7
6-8
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.2
28.0
30.1
4
25%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.8
29.4
27.6
10
55%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
4-7
57%
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
11.9
9.5
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
11.9
15.0
8
58%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
10.2
6.1
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.6
1.1
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.1
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.