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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz62%10191
23Trail Blazers38%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
43.5
33.0
16
38%
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
4-5
80%
6-18
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
41.3
34.3
11
37%
5
10
1
1
1
5
1
4
1-2
50%
5-9
6-11
56%
50%
0-5
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
36.1
36.1
22
51%
12
6
4
1
0
0
3
9
2-4
50%
10-20
10-18
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
32.1
26.3
13
45%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
55%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
15.4
10.5
6
104%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
20.6
27.3
9
51%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
18.9
18.4
5
43%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
15.8
9.6
2
13%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-3
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
6.7
4.4
3
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
4.9
9.2
4
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
4.5
7.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
18.3
0
2-4
49%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
35.9
35.2
29
60%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
7-7
100%
11-18
6-12
61%
47%
0-3
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.2
34.5
27.7
8
67%
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.0
23.3
21.5
10
66%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
7-8
88%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.8
21.5
29.7
2
33%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
17.6
15.0
5
36%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.2
29.4
24.9
14
87%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.2
27.4
29.4
21
65%
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
5
9-14
64%
6-10
5-11
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
26.8
23.2
5
38%
4
4
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.5
12.1
8.7
3
19%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
11.4
9.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
15.1
0
3-6
51%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.8
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.0
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.9
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.