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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nets56%9686
29Knicks44%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
40.4
39.3
24
61%
2
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5-8
63%
5-11
7-13
45%
49%
3-5
60%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
38.6
35.5
18
53%
7
7
4
2
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
8-11
2-6
73%
45%
0-5
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
38.5
38.6
14
33%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
7-18
7-14
39%
51%
0-3
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
18.2
13.2
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
10.9
13.9
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
31.3
22.3
10
85%
6
1
0
0
2
0
3
3
0-2
0%
5-5
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
27.9
21.7
6
34%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-4
0%
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
18.0
14.6
8
57%
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
11.0
10.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
5.2
8.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
23.0
1
2-4
48%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
5.6
0
1-2
45%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
45.3
41.6
32
74%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
6-8
75%
7-11
5-11
64%
46%
4-7
57%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
41.9
34.8
7
44%
5
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
41.0
35.5
20
54%
13
5
2
1
1
5
1
12
6-8
75%
7-12
7-16
58%
47%
0-3
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.0
37.7
20.5
23
59%
9
0
0
0
1
2
3
6
5-8
63%
9-16
4-8
56%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
31.5
24.6
8
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-6
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
14.6
18.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
12.8
27.6
3
26%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
57%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.5
9.3
11.4
1
13%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
3.2
11.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
2.8
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
5.7
0
1-1
39%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.6
5.2
0
1-2
47%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.