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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers30%97106
16Heat70%104103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
38.9
31.3
16
71%
6
4
3
1
0
5
1
5
4-5
80%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
37.7
37.2
26
45%
4
6
0
2
0
5
0
4
3-5
60%
7-19
4-10
37%
43%
3-8
38%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
29.8
33.8
6
28%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
29.3
30.4
24
80%
7
2
2
1
1
0
4
3
6-7
86%
9-12
6-13
75%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
20.1
16.6
4
41%
9
1
0
1
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.6
32.2
27.1
5
36%
9
1
1
1
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.9
19.6
19.1
6
39%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
18.2
21.0
14
88%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
41%
2-3
67%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.3
14.4
10.8
5
47%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
22.6
0
4-8
48%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.8
13.0
0
1-3
50%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
40.8
40.8
24
74%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-5
80%
10-14
6-12
71%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
38.5
39.4
24
61%
4
9
1
2
1
8
1
3
12-13
92%
6-13
9-18
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
25.6
26.5
12
57%
3
1
3
0
1
2
2
1
4-8
50%
4-7
6-10
57%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
24.7
21.6
6
68%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
13.8
19.9
4
100%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
37.6
33.0
13
55%
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
21.6
14.6
6
44%
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
19.4
12.7
14
44%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
11.7
28.3
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
6.3
3.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
9.7
0
1-2
47%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
4.7
0
1-2
47%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.