Final Win Prob. pScore
3031%94
92
2669%101
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
105.78790.1
MIL logo Bucks
111.88582.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL92
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MINMcCants 31' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)92
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MINJefferson P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
93
Q4 - 0:06.0MINJefferson 4' Running Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Gomes 2 AST)89
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0MINTimberwolves Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)87
93
Q4 - 0:09.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)87
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MINMcCants P.FOUL (P4.PN)87
91
Q4 - 0:10.0MINMcCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Telfair 8 AST)87
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILYi Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)84
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MINSmith P.FOUL (P4.T2)84
89
Q4 - 0:24.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MINMISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)84
89
Q4 - 0:30.0MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redd 9 AST)84
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)84
86
Q4 - 0:42.0MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)82
86
Q4 - 0:42.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MINMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot82
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)82
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot82
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 1:10MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)82
86
Q4 - 1:10MINMcCants Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)82
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 1:23MILYi 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)82
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 1:41MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)82
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 1:41MILBogut S.FOUL (P5.T3)81
84
Q4 - 1:41MINJefferson Layup (20 PTS) (McCants 2 AST)81
84
Q4 - 1:45MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)79
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 2:00MINGomes 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Telfair 7 AST)79
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 2:11MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)76
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 2:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)76
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 2:35MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 3:01MINJefferson 5' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)76
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 3:11MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)74
84
Q4 - 3:19MILYi Dunk (16 PTS) (Redd 8 AST)74
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 3:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 3:27MINMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot74
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 3:45MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T2)74
82
Q4 - 3:49MILWilliams Layup (16 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)74
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 3:56MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Telfair 6 AST)74
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q4 - 4:02MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 4:04MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot71
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 4:25MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)71
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 4:35MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Yi 1 AST)68
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 4:37MILYi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 4:40MILMISS Bogut Layup68
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 5:04MINSmith Layup (28 PTS)68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 5:23MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)66
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 5:33MINSUB: Smith FOR Jaric66
74
Q4 - 5:33MINTelfair Violation:Kicked Ball66
74
Q4 - 5:44MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)66
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q4 - 5:59MILSUB: Redd FOR Bell66
74
Q4 - 5:59MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)66
74
Q4 - 5:59MILBogut P.FOUL (P4.T1)66
74
Q4 - 6:16MINTimberwolves Rebound66
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q4 - 6:16MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot66
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 6:39MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q4 - 6:40MINMISS Jaric 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q4 - 6:54MILYi Dunk (14 PTS)66
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q4 - 6:56MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q4 - 6:57MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q4 - 7:21MILSUB: Bogut FOR Voskuhl66
72
Q4 - 7:21MILSUB: Williams FOR Ivey66
72
Q4 - 7:21MINSUB: Telfair FOR Brewer66
72
Q4 - 7:21MINJaric Foul Turnover (P2.T11)66
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q4 - 7:21MINJaric OFF.Foul (P4)66
72
Q4 - 7:25MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)66
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q4 - 7:27MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot66
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q4 - 7:45MINBrewer Layup (4 PTS)66
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q4 - 8:05MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q4 - 8:06MILMISS Bell 34' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q4 - 8:36MINJefferson Dunk (16 PTS) (Jaric 7 AST)64
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q4 - 8:56MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 8:56MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q4 - 8:56MILSUB: Simmons FOR Redd62
70
Q4 - 8:56MINSUB: Gomes FOR Richard62
70
Q4 - 8:5662
70
Q4 - 8:56MINMcCants P.FOUL (P3.T1)62
70
Q4 - 9:08MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q4 - 9:09MINMISS McCants 12' Jump Shot62
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q4 - 9:22MINRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q4 - 9:24MILMISS Bell 11' Jump Shot62
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q4 - 9:44MINJefferson Layup (14 PTS) (Jaric 6 AST)62
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q4 - 10:02MILBell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 7 AST)60
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q4 - 10:21MINJefferson Layup (12 PTS)60
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q4 - 10:33MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)58
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q4 - 10:34MILMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q4 - 10:46MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q4 - 10:48MINMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot58
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q4 - 10:56MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q4 - 10:58MINMISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q4 - 11:16MILYi 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)58
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q4 - 11:30MINBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)58
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q4 - 11:34MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q4 - 11:35MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q4 - 12:0058
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN58
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINTimberwolves Rebound58
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Brewer 29' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MINMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 258
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)58
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MILVoskuhl S.FOUL (P2.T3)57
63
Q3 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)57
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MINRichard Foul Turnover (P2.T9)57
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MINRichard OFF.Foul (P2)57
63
Q3 - 0:47.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)57
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 1:07MINSmith Layup (25 PTS)57
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q3 - 1:27MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)55
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 1:27MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)55
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 1:27MINSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)55
61
Q3 - 1:48MINSmith Layup (23 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)55
61
Q3 - 2:00MINRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 2:00MINSUB: McCants FOR Jaric53
61
Q3 - 2:00MINTimberwolves Rebound53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 2:00MINMISS Richard Layup53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 2:01MINMISS Smith Layup53
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 2:17MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 2:17MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 2:42MINRichard Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)53
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 2:42MINSUB: Jaric FOR McCants53
61
Q3 - 2:42MINRichard OFF.Foul (P1)53
61
Q3 - 2:51MINSUB: McCants FOR Jaric53
61
Q3 - 2:51MILSUB: Bell FOR Mason53
61
Q3 - 2:51MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
61
Q3 - 2:51MINTimberwolves Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)53
61
Q3 - 2:58MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 6 AST)53
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 3:04MINVoskuhl STEAL (1 STL)53
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q3 - 3:22MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)53
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 3:38MINSmith Layup (21 PTS)53
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 3:39MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 3:40MINMISS Brewer Layup51
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 3:43MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)51
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 3:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 3:46MINMISS Jaric 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 4:01MINRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
19.9%
56
80.1%
Q3 - 4:02MILMISS Bogut Layup51
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 4:20MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)51
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q3 - 4:20MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)50
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 4:20MILSUB: Voskuhl FOR Yi49
56
Q3 - 4:20MINSUB: Richard FOR Jefferson49
56
Q3 - 4:20MILBogut P.FOUL (P3.T2)49
56
Q3 - 4:33MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 4:33MILBUCKS Rebound49
55
Q3 - 4:33MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 249
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q3 - 4:33MINBrewer S.FOUL (P2.T4)49
55
Q3 - 4:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)49
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 4:42MINMISS Brewer 11' Jump Shot49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 4:49MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 4:50MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot49
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q3 - 5:08MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)49
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 5:08MINTimberwolves Rebound48
55
Q3 - 5:08MINMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 248
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 5:08MILYi S.FOUL (P1.T1)48
55
Q3 - 5:27MILWilliams Layup (8 PTS)48
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 5:39MINSmith Layup (16 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)48
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 5:46MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 5:47MILMISS Yi 14' Jump Shot46
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q3 - 6:03MINJefferson Violation:Kicked Ball46
53
Q3 - 6:14MINJefferson L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)46
53
Q3 - 6:14MILBUCKS Rebound46
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 6:14MINMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot46
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 6:26MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 6:28MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q3 - 6:42MINJaric P.FOUL (P3.T2)46
53
Q3 - 6:42MINMason STEAL (3 STL)46
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 6:50MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 6:52MINMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot46
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 7:08MILRedd Layup (19 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)46
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 7:29MINJefferson Layup (10 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)46
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q3 - 7:38MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q3 - 7:39MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot44
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q3 - 7:50MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 7:52MINMISS Telfair 19' Jump Shot44
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q3 - 8:05MINSUB: Smith FOR Richard44
51
Q3 - 8:05MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)44
51
Q3 - 8:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q3 - 8:09MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)44
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot44
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 8:18MINWilliams STEAL (1 STL)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 8:26MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q3 - 8:32MINYi STEAL (1 STL)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 8:52MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)44
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q3 - 9:00MINSUB: Richard FOR Smith44
47
Q3 - 9:00MINSmith P.FOUL (P2.T1)44
47
Q3 - 9:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q3 - 9:08MINMISS Smith Layup44
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q3 - 9:30MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Redd 5 AST)44
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q3 - 9:36MINMason STEAL (2 STL)44
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q3 - 10:02MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
30.7%
45
69.3%
Q3 - 10:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q3 - 10:10MINMISS Telfair Layup44
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q3 - 10:16MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS Redd Layup44
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q3 - 10:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q3 - 10:31MILMISS Yi 15' Jump Shot44
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q3 - 10:53MINSmith 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS)44
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q3 - 11:17MILMason 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q3 - 11:34MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q3 - 11:35MINMISS Smith Layup42
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q3 - 11:38MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q3 - 11:40MINYi BLOCK (2 BLK)42
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q3 - 12:0042
40
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN42
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINMISS Smith 58' 3PT Running Jump Shot42
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINTimberwolves Rebound42
40
Q2 - 0:02.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
39.0%
40
61.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Williams Layup42
38.3%
40
61.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MINBrewer 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)42
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MINJefferson 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)40
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MINTimberwolves Rebound38
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MINMason BLOCK (3 BLK)38
25.8%
40
74.2%
Q2 - 1:00MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 1:25MINGomes Layup (12 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)38
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 1:32MILYi 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)36
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 1:52MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)36
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 1:52MINTimberwolves Rebound36
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 1:53MINMISS Brewer 10' Jump Shot36
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 2:16MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 2:16MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 2:16MINSUB: Smith FOR Jaric36
36
Q2 - 2:16MINJefferson S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
36
Q2 - 2:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 2:21MINMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot36
30.6%
36
69.4%
Q2 - 2:26MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 2:27MINMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot36
30.6%
36
69.4%
Q2 - 2:50MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 2:50MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
33.3%
35
66.7%
Q2 - 2:50MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
34
Q2 - 2:50MINJaric S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
34
Q2 - 3:05MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 3:07MINMISS Jefferson Layup36
35.7%
34
64.3%
Q2 - 3:19MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)36
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 3:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 3:29MINMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot36
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 3:47MINTimberwolves Rebound36
44.2%
32
55.8%
Q2 - 3:47MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot36
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 3:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 3:56MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot36
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 4:12MINTelfair Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 4:12MILBogut S.FOUL (P2.T2)35
32
Q2 - 4:12MINTelfair Layup (6 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 4:14MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.5%
32
65.5%
Q2 - 4:16MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot33
33.7%
32
66.3%
Q2 - 4:35MINJefferson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 4:56MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
29.3%
32
70.7%
Q2 - 4:56MILBUCKS Rebound31
31
Q2 - 4:56MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 231
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 4:56MILSUB: Williams FOR Bell31
31
Q2 - 4:56MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
31
Q2 - 4:56MINBrewer S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
31
Q2 - 5:10MINJefferson Layup (4 PTS)31
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 5:26MILMason 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 5:47MINGomes 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jaric 5 AST)29
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 6:02MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 6:03MILMISS Yi 16' Jump Shot27
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 6:19MILSUB: Bogut FOR Voskuhl27
29
Q2 - 6:19MILSUB: Yi FOR Villanueva27
29
Q2 - 6:19MILSUB: Mason FOR Simmons27
29
Q2 - 6:19MINSUB: Brewer FOR McCants27
29
Q2 - 6:19MINJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T4)27
29
Q2 - 6:30MINGomes 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jaric 4 AST)27
24.3%
29
75.7%
Q2 - 6:40MILJump Ball Voskuhl vs. McCants: Tip to Jaric25
29
Q2 - 6:59MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)25
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 7:22MINGomes 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q2 - 7:35MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q2 - 7:36MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot23
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 7:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
22.3%
26
77.7%
Q2 - 7:47MILMISS Villanueva 10' Hook Shot23
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 8:07MINGomes Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)23
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q2 - 8:13MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q2 - 8:14MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q2 - 8:22MINGomes P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
26
Q2 - 8:39MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q2 - 8:40MINMISS McCants 18' Jump Shot21
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q2 - 8:53MILSUB: Redd FOR Williams21
26
Q2 - 8:5321
26
Q2 - 8:53MINTimberwolves Rebound21
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q2 - 8:55MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot21
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q2 - 9:02MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q2 - 9:04MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 9:10MINMcCants P.FOUL (P2.T2)21
26
Q2 - 9:27MILBUCKS Rebound21
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q2 - 9:28MINMISS Gomes 15' Jump Shot21
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q2 - 9:46MILWilliams Layup (4 PTS)21
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q2 - 9:59MINGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q2 - 9:59MINSUB: Jefferson FOR Richard20
24
Q2 - 9:59MINGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q2 - 9:59MILVoskuhl S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
24
Q2 - 10:17MILVoskuhl Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q2 - 10:17MILVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q2 - 10:17MINMcCants S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
22
Q2 - 10:25MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q2 - 10:26MINMISS McCants 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 10:39MILSUB: Simmons FOR Mason19
22
Q2 - 10:39MINSUB: Telfair FOR Brewer19
22
Q2 - 10:39MINTimberwolves Rebound19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 10:39MINMason BLOCK (2 BLK)19
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 10:42MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 10:44MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q2 - 10:50MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Villanueva 6' Hook Shot19
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q2 - 11:11MILBUCKS Rebound19
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 11:12MINMISS McCants 20' Jump Shot19
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q2 - 11:23MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q2 - 11:25MILMISS Voskuhl Layup19
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q2 - 11:47MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q2 - 11:48MINMISS Richard Layup19
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q2 - 12:0019
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL19
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MINMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot19
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSUB: Bell FOR Redd19
22
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMason P.FOUL (P1.T2)19
22
Q1 - 0:16.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot19
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MINMISS Telfair 17' Jump Shot19
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MINRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMISS Yi 19' Jump Shot19
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:00MINSmith Layup (12 PTS) (McCants 1 AST)19
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 1:16MINRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:17MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 1:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 1:24MINYi BLOCK (1 BLK)17
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 1:37MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:39MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot17
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 2:01MINTelfair 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:15MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
22
Q1 - 2:15MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
22
Q1 - 2:32MILYi 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)15
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 2:52MINSmith Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 3:04MINSUB: McCants FOR Jaric13
20
Q1 - 3:04MINJaric Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 3:04MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bogut )12
20
Q1 - 3:22MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)12
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 3:26MINSUB: Richard FOR Jefferson12
18
Q1 - 3:37MINMason STEAL (1 STL)12
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 3:57MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 3:59MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 3:59MILMISS Yi Layup12
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 4:00MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot12
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 4:21MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q1 - 4:23MINMason BLOCK (1 BLK)12
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 4:28MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
20.5%
18
79.5%
Q1 - 4:29MINMISS Telfair 10' Jump Shot12
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 4:48MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:50MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 5:09MINJefferson Layup (2 PTS)12
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 5:23MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 5:23MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 5:23MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
16
Q1 - 5:23MINJaric S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
16
Q1 - 5:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 5:31MINMISS Brewer 11' Jump Shot10
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 5:59MILYi 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 6:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 6:11MINMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot10
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 6:26MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)10
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:39MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 6:40MINMISS Telfair 17' Jump Shot10
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 6:58MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 7:00MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot10
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 7:17MINTelfair 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 7:31MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 7:32MINMISS Jaric Layup8
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 7:54MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 8:17MINSmith 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)8
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 8:39MILYi Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)6
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 8:48MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 8:49MINMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot6
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 9:06MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 9:06MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 9:06MINSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:33MINSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST)6
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:39MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:40MILMISS Mason Layup4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:45MILMISS Bogut Layup4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 9:55MINMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot4
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 10:14MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 10:43MINSmith Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)4
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 11:07MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 11:26MINSmith 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:43MILMason 3' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Jefferson: Tip to Williams0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
25
39
64%
MIL
15
25
60%
Midrange
MIN
8
31
26%
MIL
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIN
11
13
85%
MIL
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Smith3071%15.0 / 21
A. Jefferson2361%11.5 / 19
R. Gomes1568%7.5 / 11
R. McCants1260%6.0 / 10
S. Telfair744%3.5 / 8
C. Brewer415%2.0 / 13
M. Jaric117%0.5 / 3
C. Richard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3259%16.0 / 27
J. Yi2269%11.0 / 16
M. Williams1973%9.5 / 13
D. Mason1083%5.0 / 6
A. Bogut840%4.0 / 10
C. Bell213%1.0 / 8
J. Voskuhl250%1.0 / 2
B. Simmons0-0.0 / 3
C. Villanueva0-0.0 / 2
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
76
+15
-11
91
MIL
79
+11
-6
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.7
105.5
MIN 105.7
MIL 111.8 +6.0
Pace
92.1
91.2
MIN 90.1 +7.9
MIL 82.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
MIN 16.0 −1.5
MIL 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
48.2%
MIN 49.4% +0.7%
MIL 48.7%
TO %
15.1%
15.5%
MIN 12.9%
MIL 8.4% −4.5%
ORB %
27.5%
30.1%
MIN 27.0%
MIL 27.5% +0.5%
FTrt
24.8
29.4
MIN 15.9
MIL 28.6 +12.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
58.2%
MIN 63.2%
MIL 78.8% +15.6%
STL %
8.1%
7.2%
MIN 4.6%
MIL 7.1% +2.5%
BLK %
6.2%
7.2%
MIN 3.6%
MIL 7.1% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.9%
MIN 50.5%
MIL 51.6% +1.1%
Rim FG%
56.5%
54.3%
MIN 64.1% +4.1%
MIL 60.0%
Mid FG%
40.3%
41.4%
MIN 25.8%
MIL 30.0% +4.2%
3P %
35.0%
34.4%
MIN 41.7% +0.8%
MIL 40.9%
FT %
73.6%
73.3%
MIN 84.6%
MIL 90.9% +6.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
37.4%
MIN 47.6% +15.1%
MIL 32.5%
Mid Att. %
45.8%
43.2%
MIN 37.8% −1.2%
MIL 39.0%
3P Att. %
18.5%
19.5%
MIN 14.6%
MIL 28.6% +13.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINMIL
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points9295
Rebounds3938
Assists2426
Steals46
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)6 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)27 (3)
Field Goals38-8233-77
At-the-Rim FG25-3915-25
Midrange FG8-319-30
2-Point FG33-7024-55
3-Point FG5-129-22
Free Throws11-1320-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 170 · 23
42.0
7
44%
4
8
2
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 23
38.2
23
61%
15
1
0
2
1
4
3
12
1-1
100%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 22
36.3
4
15%
4
3
0
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-12
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 224 · 29
35.0
1
17%
0
7
0
0
2
4
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 265 · 24
30.9
30
71%
10
1
1
0
2
4
5
5
6-8
75%
12-16
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
22.9
12
60%
0
2
1
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
20.9
15
68%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 256 · 23
13.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
F · 6'9" 255 · 32
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22
#42 · C · 6'10" 235 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'4" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
39
24
4
2
11
0
10
29
11-13
85%
33-70
47%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.