Final Win Prob. pScore
937%97
91
563%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
97.893102.9
SAS logo Spurs
107.49586.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Wafer 57' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson91
102
Q4 - 0:40.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)91
102
Q4 - 0:40.0DENKleiza 1' Dunk (16 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENMISS Wafer 17' Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENNuggets Rebound89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASMISS Washington 18' Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DENMISS Wafer 2' Layup89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto89
102
Q4 - 1:28SASSUB: Washington FOR Vaughn89
102
Q4 - 1:28SASSUB: Udoka FOR Ginobili89
102
Q4 - 1:28SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52DENSUB: Carter FOR Anthony89
102
Q4 - 1:52DENSUB: Wafer FOR Iverson89
102
Q4 - 1:52DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)89
102
Q4 - 1:52DENJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)89
102
Q4 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:59SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10DENKleiza 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)89
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:17SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Kleiza 6' Jump Shot87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:32SASVaughn Violation:Kicked Ball87
100
Q4 - 3:43SASOberto 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)87
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:47SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 3:49DENMISS Anthony Layup87
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 3:53DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Iverson 3' Jump Shot87
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 4:07SASVaughn Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)87
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 4:17DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)87
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 4:17SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.PN)86
98
Q4 - 4:17DENIverson 1' Layup (29 PTS)86
98
Q4 - 4:20SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)84
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 4:37SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:49SASMISS Barry 21' Jump Shot84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 5:04SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka84
98
Q4 - 5:04SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson84
98
Q4 - 5:04DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T17)84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:10DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:11SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:28DENKleiza 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:42SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)82
98
Q4 - 5:42SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)82
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 5:55DENMISS Iverson 9' Jump Shot82
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 6:06SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)82
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 6:06SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 6:31DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 6:31DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)81
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 6:31SASVaughn S.FOUL (P2.T4)80
98
Q4 - 6:38SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Washington80
98
Q4 - 6:38SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili80
98
Q4 - 6:38DENSUB: Diawara FOR Najera80
98
Q4 - 6:38SASBarry L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)80
98
Q4 - 6:38DENNuggets Rebound80
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 6:38SASMISS Elson 14' Jump Shot80
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:00DENKleiza 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Najera 3 AST)80
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:11DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:12SASMISS Washington 8' Floating Jump Shot77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35DENJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:56SASWashington 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19DENNajera 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)74
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 8:36SASElson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 8:5172
94
Q4 - 8:51DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T16)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:51DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P4)72
94
Q4 - 9:02SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:07SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:08DENMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:17SASElson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:40SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:42DENMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:14DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)72
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:14DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)71
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:14SASWashington S.FOUL (P2.T2)70
94
Q4 - 10:18DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:19SASMISS Elson 3' Layup70
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 10:35DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 10:56SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56DENJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
92
Q4 - 11:12DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 11:24DENSUB: Anthony FOR Camby68
92
Q4 - 11:24SASElson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)68
92
Q4 - 11:24DENNuggets Rebound68
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:24SASMISS Udoka 20' Jump Shot68
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 12:0068
92
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN68
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound68
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Jones 49' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili 9' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENNajera 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)68
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0SASWashington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)66
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENMISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot66
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 5 AST)66
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMISS Washington 16' Jump Shot66
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 1:01DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)66
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 1:16SASOberto 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)66
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:23SASSUB: Finley FOR Vaughn66
85
Q3 - 1:23SASBarry Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)66
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:23DENNajera T.FOUL (P1.T4)66
84
Q3 - 1:23DENNajera P.FOUL (P1.T4)66
84
Q3 - 1:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot66
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 1:50SASBarry 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)66
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 1:53DENSUB: Jones FOR Carter66
82
Q3 - 2:12DENIverson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)66
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 2:24SASOberto 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)64
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q3 - 2:45SASSUB: Washington FOR Bowen64
80
Q3 - 2:45DENIverson Foul Turnover (P6.T13)64
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 2:45DENIverson OFF.Foul (P3)64
80
Q3 - 2:57DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 264
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 2:58SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 2:58SASSUB: Barry FOR Finley64
79
Q3 - 2:58DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Anthony64
79
Q3 - 2:58DENCarter S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
79
Q3 - 3:04SASFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 3:07DENOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 3:18SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)64
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 3:38DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)64
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q3 - 3:50SASFinley 3' Tip Shot (21 PTS)61
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 3:56SASFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot61
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 4:16SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan61
74
Q3 - 4:16DENIverson Foul Turnover (P5.T12)61
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 4:16DENIverson OFF.Foul (P2)61
74
Q3 - 4:27SASFinley 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS)61
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 4:45DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)61
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 4:51SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)61
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 5:04DENIverson 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)61
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 5:17SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)59
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q3 - 5:17DENCarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
71
Q3 - 5:17SASGinobili 2' Layup (5 PTS)59
71
Q3 - 5:20SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Vaughn 2' Layup59
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 5:44SASSPURS Rebound59
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 5:44DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot59
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 6:04SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)59
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 6:22DENSUB: Najera FOR Kleiza59
66
Q3 - 6:22SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Oberto59
66
Q3 - 6:22SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
66
Q3 - 6:22DENIverson 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)59
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 6:31DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot57
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 6:57DENAnthony 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)57
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 7:10SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)55
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 7:37DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)55
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 8:01SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)52
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 8:19SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q3 - 8:20DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot52
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 8:28SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.T1)52
61
Q3 - 8:42SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)52
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 9:02DENCarter 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kleiza 3 AST)52
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 9:10DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 9:11SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup50
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 9:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup50
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 9:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 9:31DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot50
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 9:49SASFinley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)50
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 9:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 9:58DENMISS Kleiza 2' Layup50
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 10:20SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)50
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 10:25SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 10:26SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot50
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 10:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot50
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 11:02SASSPURS Rebound50
56
Q3 - 11:02SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Anthony: Tip to Oberto50
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q3 - 11:02DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)50
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 11:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 11:02DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup50
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 11:14DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Finley 14' Fadeaway Jumper50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q3 - 11:37DENAnthony L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)50
56
Q3 - 11:37SASSPURS Rebound50
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Iverson 12' Jump Shot50
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 11:44DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q3 - 12:0050
56
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS50
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound50
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENIverson 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)50
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMISS Barry 8' Jump Shot48
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)48
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASVaughn 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)48
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot48
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
22.6%
54
77.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot48
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q2 - 1:08SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)48
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q2 - 1:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot48
29.1%
51
70.9%
Q2 - 1:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
30.4%
51
69.6%
Q2 - 1:38SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot48
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 1:49DENSUB: Jones FOR McCoy48
51
Q2 - 1:49SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili48
51
Q2 - 1:49SASSPURS Rebound48
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q2 - 1:49SASMISS Vaughn 5' Jump Shot48
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 2:04DENIverson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 2:12SASOberto 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)46
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 2:38SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 2:39DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 246
28.4%
49
71.6%
Q2 - 2:39DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
30.2%
49
69.8%
Q2 - 2:39DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
49
Q2 - 2:39SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.T2)45
49
Q2 - 2:50SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)45
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q2 - 3:06DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)45
33.2%
46
66.8%
Q2 - 3:13SASFinley 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)45
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q2 - 3:31DENIverson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
38.9%
44
61.1%
Q2 - 3:45SASOberto 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)43
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 3:52DENSUB: McCoy FOR Camby43
42
Q2 - 3:52DENCamby P.FOUL (P3.T4)43
42
Q2 - 4:04DENAnthony 1' Dunk (11 PTS)43
38.7%
42
61.3%
Q2 - 4:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 4:09DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot41
34.0%
42
66.0%
Q2 - 4:29SASOberto 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)41
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 4:36SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 4:37SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 4:52SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 4:55DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot41
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 5:15SASOberto 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)41
41.6%
40
58.4%
Q2 - 5:30DENSUB: Iverson FOR Smith41
38
Q2 - 5:30SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry41
38
Q2 - 5:3041
38
Q2 - 5:30DENCamby P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
38
Q2 - 5:39DENCarter 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)41
44.6%
38
55.4%
Q2 - 6:00SASVaughn 2' Layup (6 PTS)39
41.6%
38
58.4%
Q2 - 6:10DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T8)39
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 6:10DENSmith OFF.Foul (P2)39
36
Q2 - 6:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot39
46.3%
36
53.7%
Q2 - 6:27DENCarter Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)39
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 6:32SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 6:32SASSPURS Rebound39
35
Q2 - 6:32SASMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 239
47.7%
35
52.3%
Q2 - 6:32DENSUB: Camby FOR Kleiza39
35
Q2 - 6:32DENKleiza S.FOUL (P3.T2)39
35
Q2 - 6:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 6:32SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot39
49.2%
35
50.8%
Q2 - 6:49DENAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 6:57SASOberto 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)39
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 7:25DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)39
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 7:33SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan36
33
Q2 - 7:33SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Washington36
33
Q2 - 7:33DENSUB: Carter FOR Iverson36
33
Q2 - 7:33SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
33
Q2 - 7:50SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Washington 1 AST)36
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot36
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q2 - 8:21SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)36
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:46DENAnthony 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
59.9%
27
40.1%
Q2 - 8:59SASFinley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
57.1%
27
42.9%
Q2 - 9:20SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
25
Q2 - 9:24DENAnthony 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 9:30SASWashington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 9:42DENSmith 2' Dunk (4 PTS)32
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q2 - 9:49SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
51.1%
25
48.9%
Q2 - 9:55SASSUB: Finley FOR Horry30
25
Q2 - 9:55DENKleiza P.FOUL (P2.T1)30
25
Q2 - 10:04DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Camby30
25
Q2 - 10:04SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili30
25
Q2 - 10:04DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)30
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q2 - 10:17SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
50.7%
25
49.3%
Q2 - 10:37DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)30
55.8%
22
44.2%
Q2 - 10:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q2 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot27
49.9%
22
50.1%
Q2 - 11:10DENIverson Foul Turnover (P3.T4)27
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q2 - 11:10DENIverson OFF.Foul (P1)27
22
Q2 - 11:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot27
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q2 - 11:27SASWashington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q2 - 11:30SASMISS Washington 4' Jump Shot27
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q2 - 11:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Najera 3PT Jump Shot27
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q2 - 11:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup27
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q2 - 12:0027
22
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound27
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENCamby Violation:Kicked Ball27
22
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 227
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASWashington P.FOUL (P1.PN)26
22
Q1 - 0:30.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot26
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENIverson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASWashington 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)24
41.8%
22
58.2%
Q1 - 1:00SASWashington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
44.8%
20
55.2%
Q1 - 1:01DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot24
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 1:16SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 1:36DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
51.5%
17
48.5%
Q1 - 1:36DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
50.9%
17
49.1%
Q1 - 1:36SASSUB: Washington FOR Vaughn22
17
Q1 - 1:36SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
17
Q1 - 1:41DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
48.4%
17
51.6%
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 1:52DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)22
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 2:06SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 2:06SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 2:06SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson22
15
Q1 - 2:06DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
15
Q1 - 2:06DENCamby S.FOUL (P1.PN)22
15
Q1 - 2:22DENNajera 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)22
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 2:31SASBarry 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)20
48.2%
15
51.8%
Q1 - 2:35SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 2:36SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot20
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 2:59DENIverson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 3:13SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T4)18
13
Q1 - 3:13SASBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 3:18SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 3:19DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot18
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 3:30SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 3:30SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P1)18
13
Q1 - 3:43DENCarter 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 3:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 4:12DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 4:12SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen15
13
Q1 - 4:12DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 4:12SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto14
13
Q1 - 4:12DENSUB: Najera FOR Kleiza14
13
Q1 - 4:12SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
13
Q1 - 4:28SASOberto 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)14
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 4:48DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)14
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 5:00DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 5:01SASMISS Elson 2' Layup12
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 5:25DENKleiza 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)12
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 5:41SASElson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 5:55SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan10
9
Q1 - 5:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
9
Q1 - 5:55DENSmith P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
9
Q1 - 5:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 5:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 6:06SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 6:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot10
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 6:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Oberto 6' Jump Shot10
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 6:45DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 6:45DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 6:45SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
9
Q1 - 6:50SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 6:50DENCamby Violation:Lane8
8
Q1 - 6:50SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley8
8
Q1 - 6:50DENSUB: Smith FOR Anthony8
8
Q1 - 6:50SASSPURS Rebound8
8
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 28
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 6:50DENAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)8
8
Q1 - 6:50SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup8
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 7:11DENCarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)8
34.7%
8
65.3%
Q1 - 7:21SASFinley P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 7:29SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:35SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 7:37DENMISS Iverson 4' Jump Shot6
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 7:57DENNuggets Rebound6
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 7:58SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 8:19DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)6
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:38SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)4
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 8:54SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 8:55DENMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot4
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 9:05SASVaughn 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:11DENAnthony Violation:Kicked Ball4
2
Q1 - 9:22SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Kleiza 12' Jump Shot4
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:38SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)4
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 9:52DENKleiza Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)4
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 9:56SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 10:02DENAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 10:02SASSPURS Rebound4
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot4
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 10:26DENAnthony 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 10:37SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 10:50SASSPURS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:50SASMISS Finley Free Throw Technical2
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 10:502
0
Q1 - 10:52DENKleiza Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)2
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 10:55DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 10:57SASMISS Vaughn 4' Jump Shot0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:13DENIverson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:17SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:27DENKleiza P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:40DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to Kleiza0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
SAS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
27
63%
SAS
16
27
59%
Midrange
DEN
13
34
38%
SAS
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
SAS
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
13
15
87%
SAS
9
13
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson3056%15.0 / 27
L. Kleiza1667%8.0 / 12
C. Anthony1550%7.5 / 15
A. Carter1056%5.0 / 9
J. Smith758%3.5 / 6
E. Najera660%3.0 / 5
M. Camby4100%2.0 / 2
B. Jones350%1.5 / 3
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
V. Wafer0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. Oberto2188%10.5 / 12
M. Finley2181%10.5 / 13
B. Barry1464%7.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1150%5.5 / 11
J. Vaughn1050%5.0 / 10
T. Duncan840%4.0 / 10
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
F. Elson650%3.0 / 6
D. Washington433%2.0 / 6
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 1
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+7
-17
83
SAS
78
+16
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
SAS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
106.5
DEN 97.8
SAS 107.4 +9.5
Pace
99.4
89.5
DEN 102.9 +16.1
SAS 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.5
DEN 14.0 −2.6
SAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
50.4%
DEN 51.3%
SAS 55.4% +4.1%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
DEN 17.1% −1.1%
SAS 18.2%
ORB %
25.6%
23.4%
DEN 13.9%
SAS 33.3% +19.4%
FTrt
35.8
27.6
DEN 19.7 +4.2
SAS 15.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
58.5%
DEN 63.9%
SAS 73.2% +9.3%
STL %
9.1%
7.1%
DEN 11.8% +7.6%
SAS 4.2%
BLK %
9.9%
6.5%
DEN 12.9% +9.6%
SAS 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.8%
DEN 53.5%
SAS 54.3% +0.8%
Rim FG%
60.7%
60.6%
DEN 63.0% +3.7%
SAS 59.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.4%
DEN 38.2%
SAS 40.0% +1.8%
3P %
35.5%
36.9%
DEN 40.0%
SAS 50.0% +10.0%
FT %
75.1%
76.1%
DEN 86.7% +17.5%
SAS 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
30.8%
DEN 35.5% +3.4%
SAS 32.1%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
44.1%
DEN 44.7%
SAS 41.7% −3.1%
3P Att. %
22.8%
25.1%
DEN 19.7%
SAS 26.2% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points91102
Rebounds2943
Assists2330
Steals114
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)31 (4)
Field Goals36-7641-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2716-27
Midrange FG13-3414-35
2-Point FG30-6130-62
3-Point FG6-1511-22
Free Throws13-159-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
44.1
30
56%
3
5
3
0
7
3
0
3
9-11
82%
9-20
45%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
35.7
15
50%
9
4
1
1
5
4
4
5
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 234 · 23
31.9
16
67%
4
3
2
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
31.5
10
56%
1
4
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 34
29.2
4
100%
6
1
2
5
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
27.9
6
60%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
15.7
3
50%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
13.3
7
58%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 209 · 22
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
#12 · G · 5'11" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
29
23
11
8
17
0
5
24
13-15
87%
30-61
49%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.