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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28SuperSonics18%9875
7Jazz82%11096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
34.0
23.8
8
42%
9
0
1
1
2
2
2
7
0-1
0%
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
30.8
29.1
8
38%
7
2
0
1
0
4
2
5
6-6
100%
1-8
5-11
13%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
27.5
27.0
3
19%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
27.0
25.4
6
38%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
19.1
32.6
6
26%
3
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
0-1
0%
3-10
6-12
30%
44%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
32.3
22.0
24
64%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
20.8
23.2
2
17%
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
20.5
18.7
10
54%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
20.5
4.9
8
58%
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
5.3
6.5
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
2.1
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
25.8
1
3-7
47%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
38.0
36.0
21
64%
16
5
2
1
0
4
2
14
1-1
100%
10-16
11-19
63%
57%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
36.2
36.9
18
54%
3
10
2
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
7-13
6-13
54%
52%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
36.1
36.9
16
55%
3
2
1
2
3
3
0
3
4-6
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
29.5
28.6
18
64%
5
2
5
2
0
2
2
3
6-7
86%
6-10
4-8
60%
56%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
18.8
12.9
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
28.7
24.7
7
41%
5
0
4
1
3
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
21.3
8.0
2
15%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
11.8
15.7
3
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
10.5
6.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
7.0
12.5
5
125%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
2.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
18.8
1
3-6
51%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.