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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Trail Blazers31%97116
11Nuggets69%104105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
40.2
35.0
26
44%
6
11
1
1
0
2
4
2
4-6
67%
11-23
6-13
48%
47%
0-4
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.2
30.6
29.9
6
55%
11
0
0
0
3
0
5
6
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.8
26.5
26.4
12
75%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
25.6
15.8
20
77%
9
1
0
0
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
10-13
3-6
77%
45%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.0
18.4
22.3
3
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.2
29.6
26.3
14
96%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
3-5
60%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.2
28.4
28.5
17
51%
5
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
7-14
5-11
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
22.4
24.5
10
74%
0
5
1
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
10.5
9.9
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.5
7.8
10.1
6
75%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
12.5
0
3-5
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.8
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.9
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.5
45.5
42.2
38
66%
2
6
3
2
0
3
0
2
13-15
87%
8-16
8-16
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
42.1
36.5
19
46%
4
3
2
1
1
5
2
2
5-8
63%
4-11
8-17
36%
50%
2-6
33%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
36.4
18.2
14
64%
5
3
0
1
4
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
3-5
64%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
33.9
32.1
4
29%
7
9
0
1
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
28.5
29.5
8
67%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.9
26.6
26.0
11
46%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
2-5
40%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
23.1
24.2
9
90%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
1.3
9.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
1.3
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
1.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.3
13.4
1
1-2
49%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.3
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.