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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz60%97111
23Hawks40%93116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
42.3
36.1
39
65%
12
2
2
1
0
2
4
8
9-14
64%
15-24
10-17
63%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
40.4
36.1
14
42%
3
10
1
1
0
1
0
3
8-11
73%
3-12
6-12
25%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
40.3
36.2
16
55%
5
4
0
1
1
5
3
2
6-8
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-3
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
39.0
28.5
19
80%
4
3
4
2
0
1
4
0
1-2
50%
9-11
4-7
82%
54%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.0
28.3
14.7
6
48%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
16.7
25.6
7
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
12.7
12.4
10
63%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
8.2
7.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
7.9
13.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
4.1
10.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
0.2
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
13.5
0
2-4
49%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.5
48.0
38.5
21
79%
6
3
3
1
0
4
2
4
11-12
92%
5-8
6-12
63%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.2
45.4
30.5
17
77%
1
14
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
3-4
75%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
35.8
39.1
26
60%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
9-11
82%
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
1-6
17%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
29.2
37.2
18
52%
12
1
2
1
5
2
6
6
8-10
80%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
27.6
22.8
17
67%
7
2
1
1
0
3
3
4
1-4
25%
8-11
3-5
73%
49%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
24.9
13.9
8
72%
5
0
1
1
0
4
0
5
4-8
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
14.6
9.5
2
57%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
14.5
10.1
7
79%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
0.1
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
12.5
0
1-2
46%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.9
12.2
0
1-3
44%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
6.1
0
1-1
44%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.6
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.