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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves24%9187
16Heat76%10191
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
37.3
35.5
22
52%
20
2
2
1
1
2
6
14
6-7
86%
8-18
8-17
44%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
37.3
35.3
17
48%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
7-13
4-8
54%
43%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.5
25.0
3.2
4
33%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.8
22.6
31.8
0
0%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
22.6
32.7
0
0%
1
3
0
2
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
36.1
26.4
19
50%
3
0
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
4-11
36%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.3
25.4
17.4
10
41%
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-5
40%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.1
21.3
27.3
11
53%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
12.3
15.3
4
72%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
10.0
0
1-2
47%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
3.6
0
0-0
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
43.5
40.1
18
54%
16
1
3
1
1
1
4
12
4-6
67%
7-14
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
39.9
38.5
30
49%
4
4
2
2
0
3
2
2
18-20
90%
6-22
9-16
27%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
29.5
25.8
15
55%
8
1
0
0
3
5
1
7
3-6
50%
6-11
5-9
55%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
26.5
22.8
7
35%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
25.4
17.4
0
0%
4
0
0
1
4
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
31.1
34.2
9
46%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
18.4
17.4
10
87%
10
0
0
0
3
1
4
6
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
15.4
21.1
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
5.8
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
4.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
15.7
0
2-4
51%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
3.7
0
1-1
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.