Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Warriors53%107125
27Grizzlies47%106117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.7
42.0
33.4
28
57%
12
5
2
1
1
2
0
12
4-6
67%
9-13
4-9
69%
46%
2-9
22%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.7
41.2
31.1
22
57%
4
8
2
2
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
39.5
31.2
23
62%
5
3
1
1
0
2
3
2
5-6
83%
9-16
5-10
56%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.8
30.3
26.4
0
0%
7
4
1
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
13.3
23.8
12
77%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-6
4-6
83%
61%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
31.1
22.3
17
62%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
5-6
83%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
25.5
18.7
15
116%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
48%
2-2
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
15.6
14.7
8
68%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
1.6
8.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.6
12.5
0
1-2
43%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.0
10.1
0
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
8.7
0
1-3
49%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.8
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.5
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
44.8
37.8
20
66%
6
7
1
1
1
7
0
6
5-7
71%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
37.4
35.0
32
71%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
9-10
90%
10-15
6-12
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
35.6
28.0
17
61%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
3-8
38%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
28.8
18.7
8
33%
5
7
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
8.6
23.4
2
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
26.0
28.5
18
69%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-7
57%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
22.6
18.1
5
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
20.6
14.9
13
66%
8
1
0
0
0
1
0
8
1-2
50%
6-9
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
9.7
8.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
3.4
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
2.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
5.9
0
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.