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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic32%99108
2Mavericks68%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.7
42.4
38.4
26
80%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
8-12
4-8
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
40.1
36.1
15
56%
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.0
36.0
39.4
22
60%
13
5
2
1
1
2
1
12
4-5
80%
9-16
7-12
56%
58%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
33.8
29.2
9
45%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
30.4
31.5
13
45%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
18.9
20.8
4
40%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
17.6
20.4
10
46%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
11.9
6.8
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
8.9
15.1
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-1
100%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
5.5
0
1-1
46%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.3
3.7
0
0-0
41%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
3.5
0
0-1
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
40.1
35.9
31
58%
11
4
0
1
0
3
1
10
6-6
100%
11-20
7-13
55%
50%
1-4
25%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
38.3
36.9
19
63%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-5
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.8
32.1
31.9
15
68%
3
9
0
2
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
31.2
23.4
8
84%
7
3
1
0
2
1
2
5
2-4
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.2
19.9
12.4
3
50%
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.3
23.3
32.7
8
36%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.1
22.0
26.7
21
73%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
10-10
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
1-5
20%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
13.6
18.6
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.3
10.2
5.0
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
9.3
13.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.9
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.8
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.