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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings40%93106
17Nets60%96101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.0
43.4
34.6
31
77%
4
7
3
1
0
2
2
2
3-5
60%
11-15
4-9
73%
48%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.7
39.3
35.0
23
70%
10
2
1
1
0
2
0
10
7-8
88%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
39.3
36.1
20
60%
4
3
1
2
2
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
4-5
80%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.1
32.4
30.5
4
33%
5
0
2
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
56%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
29.1
33.9
0
0%
1
8
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
4-9
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
26.2
22.2
24
80%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
7-7
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
5-8
63%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
14.6
9.6
4
35%
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5
2-4
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
10.1
8.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.4
3.8
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
1.9
9.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.9
10.3
0
1-3
49%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
42.3
15.7
11
47%
7
1
2
0
8
2
2
5
3-4
75%
4-10
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
38.5
38.1
36
76%
9
3
1
1
0
6
2
7
11-11
100%
11-17
7-14
65%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
37.9
36.2
11
46%
10
9
2
2
0
5
2
8
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
36.8
39.1
15
53%
6
7
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-5
80%
4-9
6-13
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
31.0
25.2
5
38%
4
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-6
17%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
28.6
23.9
13
65%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
14.7
12.7
10
83%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
5.8
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
4.3
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.5
15.7
0
1-3
48%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
15.2
0
0-1
42%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.