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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat53%94111
22Hawks47%93114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
49.0
38.6
36
67%
6
10
1
2
2
3
1
5
20-22
91%
8-17
8-16
47%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
46.9
40.9
11
45%
8
2
4
1
0
3
3
5
3-3
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
38.7
18.7
12
73%
1
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
31.4
27.0
16
65%
7
1
0
0
1
5
3
4
8-12
67%
4-7
5-9
57%
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
19.8
20.7
8
68%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
46.4
32.3
16
49%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
1-4
25%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
20.9
10.4
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
5.4
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
4.7
17.6
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
0.9
36.0
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
5-9
-
53%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
0.9
24.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
3.2
0
1-1
44%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
53.0
37.3
25
46%
5
9
3
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
11-17
6-12
65%
50%
0-8
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.5
50.4
41.2
26
61%
9
2
2
1
0
6
4
5
8-10
80%
9-17
6-12
53%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.2
36.7
35.2
19
64%
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
27.8
33.9
12
61%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
16.6
24.7
5
66%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.9
29.8
17.9
13
72%
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
7-7
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
19.9
11.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
13.9
11.5
8
82%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.9
8.5
9.0
4
114%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
6.7
8.3
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
0.9
18.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.6
0.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.