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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs72%10485
27Grizzlies28%9688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
32.6
25.7
16
54%
14
4
0
1
2
1
3
11
2-2
100%
7-14
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
31.4
29.7
11
42%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-7
14%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
27.4
28.2
10
45%
1
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.5
22.0
32.2
3
75%
1
0
3
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
19.4
25.0
6
60%
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.4
32.7
31.0
20
42%
5
5
3
2
0
3
0
5
4-6
67%
5-13
5-9
38%
50%
2-8
25%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
29.0
24.0
8
54%
2
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
14.0
11.1
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
13.1
5.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
12.4
12.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
5.9
6.5
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
14.2
0
3-6
53%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.8
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
44.3
35.4
23
49%
9
3
1
1
2
5
2
7
2-3
67%
9-19
5-11
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
42.4
30.3
10
38%
7
5
3
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
2-7
29%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
40.6
39.8
31
82%
6
1
0
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
7-7
3-7
100%
52%
5-11
45%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
33.5
22.4
10
46%
6
3
1
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
41%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
23.9
17.6
2
25%
6
3
1
0
3
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
23.1
17.2
5
53%
0
0
1
0
2
3
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
14.5
27.2
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
12.9
8.7
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
3.7
19.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
1.1
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.