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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets63%101107
29SuperSonics37%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
42.5
38.9
17
41%
11
6
0
1
5
3
2
9
1-2
50%
8-20
8-17
40%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
40.1
31.4
17
50%
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
3-9
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
37.8
21.8
25
89%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
7-10
70%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.2
37.1
37.1
16
77%
17
2
2
1
1
2
7
10
0-1
0%
8-10
5-9
80%
59%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
36.5
38.1
21
55%
3
15
4
2
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
9-17
7-14
53%
49%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
13.4
11.7
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.2
11.5
13.1
4
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
10.8
14.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.8
10.2
20.0
5
51%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.5
11.1
0
1-2
47%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
30.8
27.9
18
54%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
26.3
29.2
10
63%
3
0
2
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
25.3
25.6
11
34%
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
0
2-3
67%
3-12
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
22.9
26.8
5
43%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
21.3
18.4
4
50%
4
0
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
27.4
22.0
4
33%
6
5
2
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
26.8
26.8
13
75%
9
1
0
1
1
0
4
5
5-6
83%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
26.2
24.8
13
59%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
25.1
19.1
13
60%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
1-2
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
8.0
6.0
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
10.0
0
1-3
49%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.