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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bulls17%8582
1Celtics83%98107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
31.0
33.4
19
61%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
7-8
88%
3-8
4-11
38%
42%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
26.0
36.0
8
34%
5
2
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-4
50%
3-10
8-16
30%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
23.1
36.8
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
17.4
15.4
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
16.1
26.6
8
52%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
29.3
20.3
10
57%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
28.2
18.6
14
55%
6
2
1
0
1
1
4
2
2-4
50%
6-11
2-6
55%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
19.6
3.1
2
20%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
39%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
16.1
20.5
7
52%
9
2
0
1
1
3
1
8
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
14.5
8.1
5
43%
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
1
1-4
25%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
12.0
3.6
3
22%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-5
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
6.8
2.3
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
37.0
35.6
18
59%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
3-7
43%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.8
29.9
30.2
7
32%
7
4
1
2
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.2
26.9
39.1
22
78%
7
3
1
1
0
4
0
7
6-7
86%
2-5
5-10
40%
49%
4-6
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
25.1
34.7
12
69%
7
5
4
1
0
2
1
6
6-6
100%
3-6
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.1
20.4
27.8
12
74%
4
1
0
1
1
2
3
1
4-7
57%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.9
22.8
18.0
12
56%
5
2
3
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.9
21.2
19.4
11
79%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
19.8
16.8
4
37%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.0
18.4
14.7
5
69%
1
0
2
0
3
1
0
1
5-6
83%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
7.5
4.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
5.6
2.3
4
76%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
4-6
67%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.9
5.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.