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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers53%98106
2376ers47%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.1
40.1
37.8
21
77%
11
2
2
1
1
3
1
10
4-6
67%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
1-1
100%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
39.2
37.2
19
43%
7
3
2
1
1
4
2
5
5-5
100%
4-15
7-15
27%
49%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.2
36.0
36.4
24
94%
11
3
0
0
1
2
8
3
4-4
100%
10-11
6-10
91%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.4
32.5
27.2
21
61%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
8-13
2-6
62%
44%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
30.4
26.6
4
20%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
15.5
19.7
7
58%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
12.5
14.6
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.9
12.0
8.9
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
11.3
13.2
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
10.5
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
6.5
0
1-2
48%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.0
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
42.3
37.3
20
43%
4
9
2
2
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
6-19
5-10
32%
49%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
38.9
33.6
21
56%
4
8
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
9-17
6-12
53%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
33.3
38.0
10
56%
14
0
1
1
2
4
5
9
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
54%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
32.2
30.2
16
47%
2
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
4-5
80%
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
9.9
25.4
4
114%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
0-0
3-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.8
31.0
25.6
11
44%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
2-5
40%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
16.1
3.0
8
57%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.8
12.0
15.0
3
80%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.5
10.9
8.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
10.8
3.4
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
41%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.6
2.8
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.1
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.