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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks35%9495
25Bobcats65%99105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
44.9
37.7
16
41%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-11
5-10
36%
46%
2-7
29%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
42.7
31.4
10
44%
4
8
2
1
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
26.6
33.0
15
53%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
20.8
31.3
6
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.0
18.4
23.0
11
52%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
3-6
50%
4-8
5-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
27.9
11.7
20
65%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-3
33%
5-10
1-3
50%
44%
3-4
75%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
24.3
28.4
11
35%
11
2
1
1
0
4
9
2
1-6
17%
5-13
4-8
38%
57%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
24.2
6.6
2
25%
6
1
2
0
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
39%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
6.1
14.5
3
80%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
3.1
7.9
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.6
1.2
3.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
42.1
37.6
27
62%
4
2
4
2
1
3
1
3
9-11
82%
6-13
6-11
46%
54%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
41.5
32.8
17
43%
3
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-6
33%
3-10
4-8
30%
49%
3-7
43%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
35.7
33.6
10
65%
6
9
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-6
67%
3-4
4-9
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
35.6
35.9
17
63%
8
2
0
1
1
2
2
6
5-8
63%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
28.8
26.1
20
78%
14
1
2
1
4
2
3
11
4-4
100%
8-11
4-7
73%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
22.2
16.9
6
43%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
18.2
22.3
2
25%
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
9.2
8.5
2
100%
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
6.7
12.7
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
3.7
0
1-1
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
2.8
0
1-1
51%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.