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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies20%9467
5Pistons80%10594
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
36.2
38.3
18
49%
5
1
1
1
3
3
0
5
2-3
67%
5-13
6-12
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
32.1
39.5
8
67%
6
5
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
31.3
38.1
10
34%
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
4-14
7-13
29%
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
25.9
20.1
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
17.8
26.4
5
63%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
33.5
22.0
6
35%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
16.2
34.3
6
56%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
12.1
19.6
6
71%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-5
40%
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
11.0
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
8.7
4.9
3
39%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
8.4
1.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
6.7
13.1
3
30%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
31.8
33.0
11
51%
11
1
3
1
0
2
3
8
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.8
30.9
32.5
16
54%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
6-12
5-9
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
30.5
31.3
7
39%
6
2
3
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.2
30.0
35.1
14
47%
1
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
10-11
91%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.8
27.3
34.2
14
47%
2
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
20.7
13.4
12
85%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
6-7
86%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
17.8
14.9
6
43%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.8
13.4
23.9
6
63%
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.6
12.8
5.2
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
11.3
11.0
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
6.7
16.3
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
6.7
5.6
4
69%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.