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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz48%99102
15Heat52%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
39.4
35.0
22
61%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-9
67%
8-13
6-11
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
34.7
34.9
21
74%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
9-12
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
32.4
37.2
10
28%
10
3
0
1
0
2
2
8
2-4
50%
4-16
10-19
25%
55%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.1
23.3
19.3
5
66%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.8
20.6
29.8
2
25%
2
2
1
2
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
27.4
16.3
20
67%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
3-6
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.9
25.1
23.9
12
59%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-5
40%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
18.1
12.7
8
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.6
13.7
16.1
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
5.2
9.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
11.8
0
1-3
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
38.3
40.2
6
34%
13
1
1
1
1
2
2
11
2-2
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
35.6
40.0
20
54%
3
6
1
2
1
2
0
3
8-10
80%
6-14
9-17
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
34.0
19.4
9
50%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
32.0
23.7
12
76%
1
0
1
1
3
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
30.0
28.9
17
50%
10
2
1
0
3
5
6
4
1-2
50%
8-16
6-10
50%
58%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
32.7
34.2
12
55%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
22.3
12.8
15
77%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
15.2
7.1
13
89%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
46%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
3.7
0
1-1
50%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.