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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats35%9599
22Bucks65%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
44.6
36.2
30
71%
3
3
1
1
2
2
1
2
3-5
60%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
5-9
56%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
44.1
39.1
15
63%
4
7
2
2
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
52%
1-3
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
43.4
34.2
17
54%
1
9
3
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
44%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
36.7
35.4
17
54%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
1-2
50%
8-15
5-11
53%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
32.1
26.7
14
53%
11
2
1
1
0
6
6
5
0-3
0%
7-12
4-7
58%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
19.3
19.5
2
25%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
10.3
20.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
5.2
10.2
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
4.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
0.5
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
9.1
0
1-2
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.0
46.0
35.8
22
52%
3
9
4
1
0
4
1
2
2-3
67%
7-17
5-10
41%
50%
2-3
67%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
43.9
37.3
27
47%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
6-16
5-11
38%
50%
4-11
36%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.2
42.5
32.4
29
83%
10
3
3
1
1
2
4
6
1-1
100%
14-17
5-9
82%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
38.0
33.4
14
49%
10
1
0
1
2
1
6
4
2-3
67%
6-13
5-9
46%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
31.6
20.9
0
0%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
17.1
15.9
9
46%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
11.8
13.9
2
50%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.0
7.2
12.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
1.9
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.3
16.7
0
2-5
52%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.9
5.5
0
0-0
46%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.2
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.